[Mike]

Hi
I think going for the corner option for just one team was not the best shout as everything else came in but not one of those. 🙁
But we live and learn this is a relatively new database and we will be back in League 2 this weekend.
As for today Cheltenham has issues and the Irish racing is on hold so we will chance a football wager and go with a clean sweep for the England and Scotland teams tonight especially as there is a 12% bet boost on the acca with bet365.
West Ham @ 4-6
Rangers @ 15-8
Aston Villa @ 4-11
Liverpool @ 2-7
Brighton @ 8-11
With the bet boost this comes to a decent looking bet at just over 15-1

[Mike]

Hi
As mentioned yesterday and even though we once again managed a winner and a few places from our placepot entries this Cheltenham although great to watch is not really a betting proposition this year and I have the feeling there will be an awful lot more non runners by the morning.
As yesterday we will throw in a placepot as Wednesday traditionally does have a decent payout if you manage to get it right. The first day paid £45.10 to a £1 today was £179.10 to a £1 but tomorrow I would expect it to be the biggest payout so far.
I will list our suggested placepot but will not place it until about 10.30 when the non runners are declared
1.30 no 4 Ginny’s Destiny
1.30 no 5 Grey Dawning
2.10 no 8 Gowel Road
2.10 no 16 Gaoth Chuil
2.50 no 5 Envoi Allen
2.50 no 10 Protektorat
3.30 no 4 Crambo
3.30 no 5 Dashel Drasher
4.10 no 3 Il Ridoto
4.10 no 19 Frero Banbou
4.50 no 2 Brighterdaysahead
4.50 no 3 Jade De Grugy
Now there are some big priced selections in there that we may have a dabble it (assuming they run) if you fancy a punt.

[Mike]

Hi
Two bits of bad news for Cheltenham punters this morning the first is that the 4.10 the Cross Country Chase has been abandoned as the ground is waterlogged. The second is that Nicky Henderson is pulling his runners as it believed there is a health issue at the yard as his runners yesterday ran well below par. 🙁
This is some compensation for us as we had tipped up Excello (one of the yards runners) yesterday at a huge price only for the horse to tamely drop out and pull up two out. We also had another of the yards runners Jeriko Du Reponet in our main section which also pulled up so we may well keep an eye on both of these should they run again before the season finishes.
This has thrown our plans into chaos but that is why we usually stick to Irish Maiden racing and now treat the festival meeting as a spectacle to watch rather than to bet in. 🙁
We will revamp our placepot (below) as under the new setup you will need to put just one entry in the abandoned 4.10 race and it will be deemed a winning selection.

1.30 no 3 Il Atlantique
1.30 no 7 Predators Gold
2.10 no 2 Fact To File
2.10 no 4 Monty’s Star
2.50 no 11 Jigaro
2.50 no 21 Doddiethegreat
3.30 no 3 Edwardstone
3.30 no 2 Captain Guiness (to replace Jonbon)
4.10 no 2 Coko Beach (counted as winner)
4.50 no 2 Saint Roi
4.50 no 7 Calico

[Mike]

Hi Suds
Everyone is trying to jump on the retirement band wagon….lol. When it comes to Cheltenham it’s a nightmare especially when the ground comes up testing but I would be surprised if you didn’t get a run for money with your selections.👍🤞

[Mike]

Hi
The two long shots ran well enough considering the huge fields and tough going with Exello in the lead group all the way round until giving up and pulling up in the boggy ground. An Bradan Feasa ran a cracker but faded into eight place on the run in.
It was a different story however with our race selections used for the placepot which were as follows
1.30 no 8 Mystical Power 2nd
1.30 no 5 Jeriko Du Reponet lost
2.10 no 3 Gaelic Warrior 1st
2.10 no 5 Il Etait Temps 3rd
2.50 no 17 Chianti Classico 1st
2.50 no 22 Weveallbeencaught lost
2.50 no 16 Twig 2nd
3.30 no 3 Irish Point 2nd
4.10 no 1 Ashroe Diamond lost
4.50 no 15 Lark In The Mornin 1st
4.50 no 7 Milan Tino lost
With this in mind we just have to dabble again tomorrow with the following
1.30 no 3 Il Atlantique
1.30 No 7 Predators Gold
2.10 no 2 Fact To File
2.10 no 4 Monty’s Star
2.50 no 11 Jigaro
2.50 no 21 Doddiethegreat
3.30 no 3 Edwardstone
3.30 no 8 Jonbon
4.10 no 2 Coko Beach
4.10 no 10 Minello Indo
4.50 no 2 Saint Roi
4.50 no 7 Calico
Best of luck to all who play tomorrow and if your looking for long shots I would not put you off either of the following, who are mentioned in the placepot and both have Best Odds Guaranteed.
2.50 Jigoro @ 12-1 for 8 places
4.50 Calico @ 22-1 for 6 places

[Mike]

Hi
We had a nice start with our League Two database the other day so we will go in again tonight
Crawley v Notts County Notts County over 5.5 corners @ 1-1
Crewe v Sutton Crewe Over 5.5 corners @ 4-5
Grimsby v Milton Keynes over 4.5 corners @ 4-6
Newport v Morcambe Over 1 goal = over 7 corners @ 0.53-1
Swindon v Accrington Over 1 goal + over 8 corners @ 0.57-1
Tranmere v Mansfield Over 1 goal + over 8 corners @ 0.85-1
This comes out as an approx 40-1 acca and should keep you on the edge of your seats if nothing else. 🙂

[Mike]

Hi
We have had a request to put a couple of Cheltenham long shots down (as we used to back in the day 🙂 ) so here are our pricewise tips for the day….lol.
2.50 Excello @ 33-1 for 7 places
Excello being an ex French horse who raced primarily on Heavy ground should appreciate the extra cut in the ground today and although he has not set the world alight since racing over here was a decent sort in France. Excello when racing in France won all his races from the front so if the yard believe stamina is not an issue today, you might see this grey go off in front and try and make all the running.
4.50 An Bradan Feasa @ 25-1 for 6 places
An Bradan Feasa has been clocking some serious times all season. This one has course and distance form the yard is in cracking form and although beaten 8 lengths by (todays current favourite) Liari last time out, has a reasonable pull in the weights today and might be worth a look.
But bear in mind with these two races they are minefields of possibilities with over 20 runners in both of them so I would be thinking to take any reasonable price for as many places as you can get. 🙂

[Mike]

Hi
Well that went well 🙁 Lake Manzaleh pulled up and Joke Dancer fell but at least it was only a cheeky double so no damage done. 🙂 We are left with Cheltenham all week which is a great spectacle but from a betting prospective is a difficult ask. Hence our main wager everyday will be the placepot.
We will use our Ten To Follow selections as a base for this bet tomorrow.
1.30 no 8 Mystical Power
1.30 no 5 Jeriko Du Reponet
2.10 no 3 Gaelic Warrior
2.10 no 5 Il Etait Temps
2.50 no 17 Chianti Classico
2.50 no 22 Weveallbeencaught
2.50 no 16 Twig
3.30 no 3 Irish Point
4.10 no 1 Ashroe Diamond
4.50 no 15 Lark In The Mornin
4.50 no 7 Milan Tino
My particular set of selections are based on 2x banker bets (to be placed) and extra selections in the big handicap races.

To work out the stakes you must times the number of selections in each race by the number of selctions in the other races ie with mine it would be 2 x2 x 3 x 1 x 1 x 2=24. That means the bet will cost 24x  whatever stake you choose ie 10p = £2.40 at minimum stakes. The bet is a pool bet similar to the lottery whereby it depends how many winners there are as to what share you recieve. But is a bit of fun and you can win big if you get lucky (especially if the favourites do not get win or get placed).

[Mike]

Hi
Here is a cheeky one to start the week off Suds when chatting online with me about the spreadsheet had noticed that one of the Irish runners in the database was racing at Taunton today.
Now this can often happen when the racing is thin on the ground and an opportunity is seen further afield. Today Patrick Griffin has taken two runners across the sea to Taunton and one of them Lake Manzaleh is having his handicap debut. We have decided to go with a cheeky each way double but to take the cash out option but only if Lake Manzaleh wins.
3.10 Lake Manzaleh @ 14-1 for 4 places
4.40 Joke Dancer @ 8-1 for 4 places
The extra places and prices this morning are with Sky Bet. 🙂

[Mike]

Hi Joe
I do believe that makes for a 6-1 winner today ? which breaks your 9 goal jinx. 🙂
I wonder what odds you could get on exactly 9 corners…lol.

[Mike]

Hi
Apart from my football bet above which lost Suds came out with a profit from the the wagers for the Six Nations on the Suds..goes under the posts 🙂 thread and Joe is about come in with a profit from his Joe.. goes to the corner 🙂 goes to the corner thread.
My Mike’s Retirement Plan thread had a cracking day at the office so its hats off to everybody this weekend. 🙂

[Mike]

Hi Suds
Regardless of the result today you were going to end up in profit and coming away with a +4 point in your pocket after a weekends betting is not too shoddy. 🙂

[Mike]

Hi
I will admit that was squeaky bum time when Warmer Days Ahead jumped right at the last when in fifth but fortunately he actually picked up and ran to be fourth. 🙂 This means the next set of bets or bet must be a 12 point minimum stake (which adds to the fun) :(…lol
This gave us another +12.10 profit, add that to the other +12 points we picked up on Shraheen and Ragmans Corner in the earlier wagers and that brings the retirement pot to +124.45 points.
There are unlikely to be anymore bets on here until the Irish Racing returns in a weeks time but I will obviously be having a look at the Festival races next week.

[Mike]

Hi
Not too shoddy a day today the theme for the day seems to be the word ‘Placed‘.
1.07 Whale Harbour @ 9-2 (lost)
1.07 Shraheen 150-1 we have taken 22-1 for 10 places (Placed)
2.17 Ivane @ 14-1 for 5 places (Placed)
2.17 Ragmans Corner 25-1 we have taken 12-1 for 10 places (Placed)
2.52 No Big Deal @ 22-1 for 5 (lost)
2.52 Warmer Days Ahead 66-1 but we have taken 18-1 for 10 places (Placed)
3.17 Howdoyoulikeherhome @ 12-1 for 4 places (Placed)
The day ended up +6.60 mainly due to bad decisions on my part but a profit is a profit. The best news of the day was that all three of our each way extra’s placed and all were used on the Mikes Retirement Plan thread. 🙂
Unfortunately with Cheltenham starting on Tuesday we will have to take a punt without our spreadsheets as the Irish racing will now be on hold whilst the festival is on. 🙁

[Mike]

Hi
The first two have both come in with Shraheen getting a cracking fourth place closely followed by Ragmans Corner staying on to grab eigth place after being hampered by fallers at the last fence.
1.07 Shraheen @ 22-1 for 10 places (2.5 points each way) = 5 points
2.17 Ragmans Corner @ 12-1 for 10 places (2.5 points each way) = 5 points
We picked up an +8.5 point profit on Shraheen and a +3.5 point profit on Ragmans Corner this leaves us with a tidy little profit of +12 points on the day and a running total of +112.35 for the thread.
This means our next bet has to be a minimum of 11 points the only option we have left is as mentioned Warmer Days Ahead which if it lost we would still be just over the 100 point mark so we just have to go for it.

 

[Author]

Posts