[Mike]

Hi
After Custers Mistake when on to win it was a double edged sword for us as it was a cracking win bet for us and would have made an ideal trade. But obviously had we traded we would have dropped a 33-1 winner for a small secure profit. However we have adjusted the idea somewhat and will try this out tomorrow. We have attempted to form our own market in the 5.40 at Tipperary tomorrow and will highlight six horses who we will be looking to trade dependent on there opening odds primarily with bet365 and Sky bet.
Oneforgonzo 4-1
Rockbrook 5-1
Hunting Brook 11-2
Milk Market 6-1
Gabriel Ranger 8-1
Mr Sundancer 9-1
We are looking in the main at these two bookmakers as they are the most likely to offer the extra places to help pull this new “Ridiculous Idea” off. The 6 horses listed above are the ones we feel most likely to fill the top 4 places which is likely to be the normal places on offer in a 16 runner handicap.
The thing with these ideas is that things have to fall in place early doors so we need to have the above listed runners realistically in the top half of the market to start with so that means squeeky bum time till 6pm.

 

[Mike]

Hi
Touch of the nears today as Trade Master lost fifth place by a short head on the line but unfortunately that’s a second consecutive day without a win which although it does not happen that often is not good news. 🙁
We have nothing on for tomorrow which is probably a good thing as at present, we are suffering a bit without our beloved decent priced each way extras 9 and 10 place options and are scratching around for options.

[Mike]

Hi
We came unstuck with both bets yesterday but not by much as Chancer Dancer was only one place out of the money. This still leaves us in a tight spot as the each way extra betting markets is rapidly drying up but I guess it was bound to happen if the companies were losing money on them.
We have spotted a couple of shouts over at Ballinrobe today which are as follows
4.45 Trade Master 14-1 but we have gone 10-1 for 5 places
5.20 Sayitfirst 16-1
5.50 Ag Obair Go Crai 14-1 but we have gone with 9-1 for 6 places
Sayitfirst is a reserve but if running and a claimer is booked for the ride we will be looking to go in for 5 places.

[Mike]

Hi Suds
It was a good start when the Clippers basketball game came in followed your Rugby bet on the Northampton game. Unfortunately it went downhill after that but on the plus side we did have a result on the lotto ticket to the tune of £30 so it was pleasure to lose the competition this week. As you know the small wins go towards the running of the competition but how about as its a rollover this Wednesday we run a bonus competition. ?
If you put a bet up I will fill in the blanks and we will re-use the same numbers. ?

[Mike]

Hi
With no each way extra markets in either race we will stick with the wagers we have placed in the 2.10. We have thought this would be the case for some time but such is life. 🙁

[Mike]

Hi
Been a quiet couple of days without a bet but we will have a dabble in the extra markets today over at Down Royal.
1.35 Garrick Painter 66-1
1.35 Zero Fighter 66-1
With the two above the best option at present is 33-1 betting without both Mordor and Le Coq Hardi. We will probably have a dabble but are just waiting to see if we can get a better option when the each way extra markets are put up this morning.
2.10 Up And Out 12-1
2.10 Chancer Dancer 12-1
We will take both of the above @ 15-2 for 4 places betting without both Benjis Benefit and Rightfolksplease.

[Mike]

Hi
Jetara came second behind Ballyburn which counted as a win as we backed him without Ballyburn but unfortunately Ascending was knocked around a bit at the second last and was eased up shortly afterwards.
In fairness Ascending was unlikely to win but could have placed but obviously the double went done. 🙁
We have nothing for today at present and it is never a good idea to be hunting a bet if they are not obvious so we will give today a miss which more or less brings the jumps season to an end. There area few meetings on next week but the volume of wagers usually eases up this time of year.
For those who are desperate for a bet Storm Heart at 13-2 or Highwind at 33-1 in the 4.50 at Punchestown are on the radar but betting without the favourite/s for Highwind would be the best option.

[Mike]

Hi
We are running out of options for bets on this thread but here are this weeks lost causes
Northampton +14.5 to beat Leinster @ 10-11
LA Clippers v DAL Mavericks over 207.5 @ 10-11
CLE Cavaliers +3.5 to beat ORL Magic @ 10-11
Burnley Win or Draw against Newcastle @ 4-5
Aston Villa to beat Brighton @ 29-20
Jake Knapp to win the CJ Cup Byron Nelson @ 17-4
The acca comes to 160-1 and the trebles look reasonable this week so fingers crossed. 🙂
The lottery ticket numbers will be 4,7,16,23,31 and 50 as usual.

[Mike]

Hi
Unfortunately are one fancy for the day Lark In The Morning has become a non runner so this leaves us without a wager for the day. 🙁 Therefore we have gone in with a quick sneaky each way double instead
Punchestown 6.35 Jetara @ 7-2 without Ballyburn
Punchestown 7.05 Ascending @ 3-1 without Anotherway
We also appear to have picked up a following from Ireland, Germany, Spain, Italy and China if any of our new followers are wondering about the site, just sign up and we will see what we can do to help. 🙂

[Mike]

Hi
I live for weeks like this as after Custers Mistake won at 33-1 (along with an explanation) last week we now follow up with a write up and a 20-1 winner today with Pigeon House. 🙂 Nara and Me Wee Bonnie Lass both placed which gave us a +25.40 point profit on the day. We said we would like to end the season with a bang and we could not have asked for more. 🙂
3.40 Pigeon House @ 20-1 Won
3.40 Nara @ 9-1 Placed
6.35 Popova @ 12-1 Lost
7.05 Me Wee Bonnie Lass @ 18-1 Placed
We do not really have anything for tomorrow but when your on a roll you have to try something. In the 7.05 at Punchestown tomorrow we have our eye on Lark In The Morning but at 11-4 it is bit short to put up. But we will throw him up as the win part of a straight forecast with Ascending currently at 11-1 to follow the selection home.

[Mike]

Hi Suds
Pigeon House is shortening up real fast and is now 16-1 we missed the 28-1 but took a bit of 20-1 early doors (just in case). Paggane was on the shorlist but there are so many in with a shout in these end of season big handicaps that its a nightmare deciding which one to go for. ? We could have put up half a dozen for each race but its not the way we fly on here. Just go to the tipping sites for there subscription tips and see the difference. We looked at a well known racing paper/website this morning for the late non runners only to see the five shortest priced favourites (three were odds on) put up as tips. ?? Yes they might (or should) all win but a tip. ?
Best of luck and thanks for the heads up on yesterdays winner. 🙂

[Mike]

Hi
That went reasonably well we had a +32.40 profit from our 9-1 winner Harsh but obviously dropped 10 points on the other wagers but a +22.40 profit is a nice touch. 🙂 This now leaves us with a new balance of +127.45 but the next bet will have to be a minimum 17 point bet on the day.

[Mike]

Hi
We had a cracking start today with a 9-1 winner in Harsh and had high hopes for the other two (well one of the other two…lol). But the day went downhill, but if you had asked me if I would have settled for a 9-1 winner at the start of the day I would have loved the idea. We ended up with a +6.80 point profit on the day which I am more than happy with. 🙂
As for tomorrow we are going back to Punchestown for the following options
3.40 Nara @ 9-1 for 6 places
3.40 Pigeon House 28-1
6.35 Popova @ 12-1 for 6 places
7.05 Me Wee Bonnie Lass @ 18-1 for 4 places
We will be looking at Pigeon House in the extra markets as it is a very rare to see Nico De Boinville ride for anyone other than Nicky Henderson. Pigeon House is his only ride of the day other than Hendersons Chantry House. ?

[Mike]

Hi
We have managed to get 100-1 for 4 places on Zulu Mike with betfair but this is not BOG (best odds guaranteed) but he is unlikely to get any bigger in price. 🙂 We have taken the more serious option of 11-1 for 7 places on the Mike’s Retirement Plan thread.

[Mike]

Hi
We have had a look and decided to go in with all three but we have taken a safer approach as it is my pension we are talking about here. 🙂
2.30 Harsh @ 9-1 for 6 places (3 points each way)
3.05 Aero’s Luck @ 17-2 3 places but betting without Blizzard Of Oz and Answer To Kayf (3 points each way)
3.40 Zulu Mike now 100-1 but we have taken 11-1 for 7 places (1 point each way)
We have also gone with a 1 point each way double on Harsh and Aero’s Luck which takes us up to our 16 point wager for the day. 🙂

[Author]

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