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MikeKeymaster
Hi Suds
We are back with another magnificent 6 (I was never sure the Mexican farmhand counted) ?. π
Ospreys + 25.5 to beat Bulls but Bulls to win at level points @ 5-6
LA Clippers +4.5 to beat DAL Mavericks @ 10-11
Colchester v Crewe Over 0 goals Colchester + Over 3 corners each team @ 6-5
MK Dons v Sutton Over 0 goals MK Dons + Over 3 corners each team @ 6-5
Swindon v Morecambe Over 0 goals Swindon + Over 1 goal in the game + Over 3 corners each team @ 6-5
Wrexham v Stockport Over 0 goals Stockport +Over 3 corners each team @ 10-11
The acca comes to over 87-1 and we will go trebles as usual.
The lottery ticket numbers will be 4,7,16,23,31 and 50 as usual.MikeKeymasterHi
Well we did say with the Irish NH season finishing soon “we would like end with a bang” and the bangs don’t get much louder than todays results. π
4.20 Mount AngleseyΒ at 14-1 betting without Valsopresa and Gone For Tea. Won
5.20 Be My Hero @ 8-1 for 4 places (lost)
5.50 Custers MistakeΒ @ 33-1 for 4 places (bet 365) Won
We are chuffed at HQ as we also threw up Custers Mistake as a ringer and its nice when you spot one. π We felt we deserved today having had a couple of fallers lately (when in contention) which makes the day even sweeter. π
We will be back for a look at the “Punchestown Festival” next week but we are unlikely to do better than today and with nothing running until the festival we can take a few days off and gloat over a good days work. πMikeKeymasterHi
Bit of a glitch there but we did get Mount Anglesby at 14-1 betting without Valsorpresa and Gone For Tea. But this time we used betfair instead of bet365 as the price was a little better.MikeKeymasterHi
For those following the thread (I can see you…lol) π I have not given up on the good ship “Bookie Buster” but am taking my time with the launch as we need to create another spreadsheet that will help us balance the books. When using Betfair they supply you with the relavent software when you place bets on there exchanges but we will be making our own book utilising several different bookmakers odds.
As an example we put up Custers Mistake last night on the Winning Post Tips thread as a bet or a possible trade as we could get 33-1 with bet365 but only 16-1 with betfair. I hope this makes sense but we are going to need to use every possible edge to make this work. “Ridiclous Ideas” can be expensive when they go wrong. π
I hope to launch this idea soon and hopefully it will become clearer as we get up and running. πMikeKeymasterHi
I guess you have to laugh (otherwise you would cry) as Shana Cloon fell at the last which is become the norm for us lately but horse and jockey got up ok and so I guess that is the main priority.
We are running out of time with the Irish NH season and we would like end with a bang but…. .We will try a few over at Downpatrick tomorrow as we may have spotted a ringer in there.
4.20 Mount Anglesey 33-1
5.20 Be My Hero @ 8-1 for 4 places
5.50 Custers Mistake @ 33-1 for 4 places (bet 365)
Mount Anglesey we will be looking towards the extra markets. Custers Mistake could be the ringer although I did not fancy him the other day he was a market mover, before being declared a non runner. He looks a more likely proposition tomorrow and at 33-1 is worth a punt especially in the exchanges in case he starts to move again.MikeKeymasterHi
I really cannot see that much today but will put up a cheeky each way double over at Wexford
4.05 Shana Cloon @ 5-1
5.15 Scrabrook @ 5-1 betting without Tranquil SeaMikeKeymasterHi
So close but yet so far away Kimjoy jumped up alongside the leader and eventual winner Theflyingbee at the last and came crashing down having looked all over a winner. Had he stayed up we would have won anyway as we had taken the price without the favourite Theflyingbee. π You get days like that which was compounded by our other selection Tramps Like Us taking the lead two out then screwing up the last two fences and fading on the run in to finish out of the frame.
I have nothing for tomorrow mainly because I am now sulking and cannot be asked to look. Ok…not really, but I could not see anything obvious tonight but will check again in the morning. πMikeKeymasterHi
Kimjoy is availble at 15-2 betting without both Break The Boundry and The Flying bee and we are happy to go with that as an each way bet. πMikeKeymasterHi
With the highest price available at 17-2 for Thunder Rose we obviously bypassed that one and I was a little disappointed with the way Golden Temple was eased up after the last as that lost us fifth place having looked all over to hit the frame when jumping the final fence. π
But such is life and the good news is twofold as Boxcar Molly ran a cracker and finished fifth which means we not only got the main bet in on this one but also cleaned up with a tidy 10-1 win on the bet fair exchange wager.
I am particularly chuffed with that, not just because of the price but the fact it has sparked another Baldrick (cunning plan) which will probably see me trawling all the markets over the next 12 hours.
As for tomorrow we have two to look at over at Bellewstown which are as follows
6.30 Kimjoy 16-1
7.40 Tramps Like Us @ 25-1 for 4 places
We will wait a little longer on Kimjoy as we like a bet without the favourite here.MikeKeymasterHi
We have best odds guaranteed (as usual) on Golden Temple which has drifted to 14-1 this morning so no worries there but strangely although a drifter we are tempted with the 18-1 on the exchanges. ?
We have taken an exchange bet on Boxcar Molly for a top five finish at 10-1 but remember we are just dabbling with the exchanges.
The main bet on Boxcar Molly for the site is 15-1 for 10 places. We are nearly there with a price on Thunder Rose and would be looking to take anything over double figures for 10 places if it is offered.MikeKeymasterHi
Well it’s just as well I have a free bus pass. π
Ffos Las 2.42 Bonza Boy @ 13-8 2nd
Tramore 4.35 Touch Me Not @ 7-4 1st
1 point win double
Ffos Las 2.12 Delgany Dreamer @ 8-1
Ffos Las 3.42 Windance @ 8-1 3rd
1 point each way double
Thats just the way the day went but it was a great day out. π
Our Irish runner who we did say “we really fancy” duly obliged and Benzine came 6th as an each way extra so the day was not a disaster.
As for tomorrow we are back on home soil and heading over to Tipperary
1.50 Thunder Rose 150-1
2.25 Boxcar Molly 66-1
3.00 Golden Temple @ 10-1 for 5 places
we will be looking to the extra markets for the first two or possibly a dabble on the exchange markets.MikeKeymasterHi
Well we had four out six this week for another profit and win the only real disappointment was Mr Incredible who started the race but took one look at the first fence refused to jump and stopped for a cuppa. However I suppose that was always the risk as I had quoted on a different thread on the day saying he was a “dodgy horse thatβs just as like to refuse to run as win”. π But we are convinced there is a big race in him so expect to see him put up again.
Leinster +2.5 to beat The Lions @ 10-11 (lost)
Scottish Grand National Mr Incredible for 4 places @ 9-4 (lost)
NO Pelicans -1 to beat SAC Kings @ 10-11 Won
Aston Villa to beat Bournemouth @ 5-6 Won
Sutton v Crawley BTTS + Over 3 corners Crawley @ 23-20 Won
Walsall v Bradford Over 0 Goals Walsall + Over 1 goal in the game Over 8 corners in the game @ 20-23 WonMikeKeymasterHi
Happy Me duly placed for a small profit on the day and Granns Boy was the proverbial fly in the ointment finishing third. π But we cannot claim a profit for the thread on the second one as we did not take the early price for Granns Boy on the site. π
We have a similar situation today with the just the race over at Tramore in our sights.
4.35 Touch Me Not who we really fancy but is a bit short to put up at on its own at 7-4
4.35 Benzine 100-1 is more our style but we will need a bet without the favourite/s here if not an each way extra.
We are off to Ffos Las today which is usually off our radar for a wager but as it a jolly boys (and girls) day out we will break the rules and put up the following bet.
Ffos Las 2.42 Bonza Boy @ 13-8
Tramore 4.35 Touch Me Not @ 7-4
1 point win double
Ffos Las 2.12 Delgany Dreamer @ 8-1
Ffos Las 3.42 Windance @ 8-1
1 point each way double
We will update the site as soon as we get the chance. If we have a good day at Ffos Las we will be taking the limo home which has Wi-Fi options. π If it all goes south we will be catching the bus, that may not. πMikeKeymasterHi
There is not much in the way of value here but 12-1 for 7 places on Happy Me looks the best option. Granns Boy is being well backed and now looks the likely fly in the ointment. -
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