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MikeKeymasterHi
The two long shots ran well enough considering the huge fields and tough going with Exello in the lead group all the way round until giving up and pulling up in the boggy ground. An Bradan Feasa ran a cracker but faded into eight place on the run in.
It was a different story however with our race selections used for the placepot which were as follows
1.30 no 8 Mystical Power 2nd
1.30 no 5 Jeriko Du Reponet lost
2.10 no 3 Gaelic Warrior 1st
2.10 no 5 Il Etait Temps 3rd
2.50 no 17 Chianti Classico 1st
2.50 no 22 Weveallbeencaught lost
2.50 no 16 Twig 2nd
3.30 no 3 Irish Point 2nd
4.10 no 1 Ashroe Diamond lost
4.50 no 15 Lark In The Mornin 1st
4.50 no 7 Milan Tino lost
With this in mind we just have to dabble again tomorrow with the following
1.30 no 3 Il Atlantique
1.30 No 7 Predators Gold
2.10 no 2 Fact To File
2.10 no 4 Monty’s Star
2.50 no 11 Jigaro
2.50 no 21 Doddiethegreat
3.30 no 3 Edwardstone
3.30 no 8 Jonbon
4.10 no 2 Coko Beach
4.10 no 10 Minello Indo
4.50 no 2 Saint Roi
4.50 no 7 Calico
Best of luck to all who play tomorrow and if your looking for long shots I would not put you off either of the following, who are mentioned in the placepot and both have Best Odds Guaranteed.
2.50 Jigoro @ 12-1 for 8 places
4.50 Calico @ 22-1 for 6 places
MikeKeymasterHi
We had a nice start with our League Two database the other day so we will go in again tonight
Crawley v Notts County Notts County over 5.5 corners @ 1-1
Crewe v Sutton Crewe Over 5.5 corners @ 4-5
Grimsby v Milton Keynes over 4.5 corners @ 4-6
Newport v Morcambe Over 1 goal = over 7 corners @ 0.53-1
Swindon v Accrington Over 1 goal + over 8 corners @ 0.57-1
Tranmere v Mansfield Over 1 goal + over 8 corners @ 0.85-1
This comes out as an approx 40-1 acca and should keep you on the edge of your seats if nothing else. π
MikeKeymasterHi
We have had a request to put a couple of Cheltenham long shots down (as we used to back in the day π ) so here are our pricewise tips for the day….lol.
2.50 Excello @ 33-1 for 7 places
Excello being an ex French horse who raced primarily on Heavy ground should appreciate the extra cut in the ground today and although he has not set the world alight since racing over here was a decent sort in France. Excello when racing in France won all his races from the front so if the yard believe stamina is not an issue today, you might see this grey go off in front and try and make all the running.
4.50 An Bradan Feasa @ 25-1 for 6 places
An Bradan Feasa has been clocking some serious times all season. This one has course and distance form the yard is in cracking form and although beaten 8 lengths by (todays current favourite) Liari last time out, has a reasonable pull in the weights today and might be worth a look.
But bear in mind with these two races they are minefields of possibilities with over 20 runners in both of them so I would be thinking to take any reasonable price for as many places as you can get. π
MikeKeymasterHi
Well that went well π Lake Manzaleh pulled up and Joke Dancer fell but at least it was only a cheeky double so no damage done. π We are left with Cheltenham all week which is a great spectacle but from a betting prospective is a difficult ask. Hence our main wager everyday will be the placepot.
We will use our Ten To Follow selections as a base for this bet tomorrow.
1.30 no 8 Mystical Power
1.30 no 5 Jeriko Du Reponet
2.10 no 3 Gaelic Warrior
2.10 no 5 Il Etait Temps
2.50 no 17 Chianti Classico
2.50 no 22 Weveallbeencaught
2.50 no 16 Twig
3.30 no 3 Irish Point
4.10 no 1 Ashroe Diamond
4.50 no 15 Lark In The Mornin
4.50 no 7 Milan Tino
My particular set of selections are based on 2x banker bets (to be placed) and extra selections in the big handicap races.To work out the stakes you must times the number of selections in each race by the number of selctions in the other races ie with mine it would be 2 x2 x 3 x 1 x 1 x 2=24. That means the bet will cost 24xΒ whatever stake you choose ie 10p = Β£2.40 at minimum stakes. The bet is a pool bet similar to the lottery whereby it depends how many winners there are as to what share you recieve. But is a bit of fun and you can win big if you get lucky (especially if the favourites do not get win or get placed).
MikeKeymasterHi
Here is a cheeky one to start the week off Suds when chatting online with me about the spreadsheet had noticed that one of the Irish runners in the database was racing at Taunton today.
Now this can often happen when the racing is thin on the ground and an opportunity is seen further afield. Today Patrick Griffin has taken two runners across the sea to Taunton and one of them Lake Manzaleh is having his handicap debut. We have decided to go with a cheeky each way double but to take the cash out option but only if Lake Manzaleh wins.
3.10 Lake Manzaleh @ 14-1 for 4 places
4.40 Joke Dancer @ 8-1 for 4 places
The extra places and prices this morning are with Sky Bet. π
MikeKeymasterHi Joe
I do believe that makes for a 6-1 winner today ? which breaks your 9 goal jinx. π
I wonder what odds you could get on exactly 9 corners…lol.
MikeKeymasterHi
Apart from my football bet above which lost Suds came out with a profit from the the wagers for the Six Nations on the Suds..goes under the posts π thread and Joe is about come in with a profit from his Joe.. goes to the corner π goes to the corner thread.
My Mike’s Retirement Plan thread had a cracking day at the office so its hats off to everybody this weekend. π
MikeKeymasterHi Suds
Regardless of the result today you were going to end up in profit and coming away with a +4 point in your pocket after a weekends betting is not too shoddy. π
MikeKeymasterHi
I will admit that was squeaky bum time when Warmer Days Ahead jumped right at the last when in fifth but fortunately he actually picked up and ran to be fourth. π This means the next set of bets or bet must be a 12 point minimum stake (which adds to the fun) :(…lol
This gave us another +12.10 profit, add that to the other +12 points we picked up on Shraheen and Ragmans Corner in the earlier wagers and that brings the retirement pot to +124.45Β points.
There are unlikely to be anymore bets on here until the Irish Racing returns in a weeks time but I will obviously be having a look at the Festival races next week.
MikeKeymasterHi
Not too shoddy a day today the theme for the day seems to be the word ‘Placed‘.
1.07 Whale Harbour @ 9-2 (lost)
1.07 Shraheen 150-1 we have taken 22-1 for 10 places (Placed)
2.17 Ivane @ 14-1 for 5 places (Placed)
2.17 Ragmans Corner 25-1 we have taken 12-1 for 10 places (Placed)
2.52 No Big Deal @ 22-1 for 5 (lost)
2.52 Warmer Days Ahead 66-1 but we have taken 18-1 for 10 places (Placed)
3.17 Howdoyoulikeherhome @ 12-1 for 4 places (Placed)
The day ended up +6.60 mainly due to bad decisions on my part but a profit is a profit. The best news of the day was that all three of our each way extra’s placed and all were used on the Mikes Retirement Plan thread. π
Unfortunately with Cheltenham starting on Tuesday we will have to take a punt without our spreadsheets as the Irish racing will now be on hold whilst the festival is on. π
MikeKeymasterHi
The first two have both come in with Shraheen getting a cracking fourth place closely followed by Ragmans Corner staying on to grab eigth place after being hampered by fallers at the last fence.
1.07 Shraheen @ 22-1 for 10 places (2.5 points each way) = 5 points
2.17 Ragmans Corner @ 12-1 for 10 places (2.5 points each way) = 5 points
We picked up an +8.5 point profit on Shraheen and a +3.5 point profit on Ragmans Corner this leaves us with a tidy little profit of +12 points on the day and a running total of +112.35 for the thread.
This means our next bet has to be a minimum of 11 points the only option we have left is as mentioned Warmer Days Ahead which if it lost we would still be just over the 100 point mark so we just have to go for it.
MikeKeymasterHi
Here are the updated lines including the transfers (which are in bold)
Line 1 Early Doors (Mike) Total points 2023/24 +319.83
Protektorat +3.70
Stage Star +22.20
Iberico Lord +74.30
Monbeg Genius +2.90
Botox Has +25.00
Editeur De Gite +28.20
Allaho +21.20 (now injured) ??
LβHomme Presse +12.30
Bravemansgame +25.70
State Man +103.80
Il Etait Temps
Line 2 Clarence (Suds) Total points 2023/24 + 191.82
El Fablio +49.50
Facile Vega +12.42
Fast or Slow +46.20
Ahoy Senior
Coolvalla (injured) ??
Luccia +24.20
Impaire Passe +1.10
Teahupoo +29.10
Bo Zenith (injured) ??
Captain Teague +29.30
Ballyburn
Lossiemouth
Line 3 Rkay Total Points 2023/24 +253.55
El Fablio +49.50
Jonbon +74.05
Ahoy Senor
Bravemansgame +25.70
Coolvalla (injured) ??
Constituion Hill +27.20
Luccia +24.20
Maries Rock +23.60
Bo Zenith (injured) ??
Captain Teague +29.20
Fact To File
Ballyburn
Line 4 Mgame Total points 2023/24 +367.22
Stage Star +22.20
Galopin Des Champs +105.00
Bravemansgame +25.70
Gerri Colombe +13.02
Monbeg Genius +2.90
Constitution Hill +27.20 (injured)
State Man +103.80
Maries Rock +23.60
JPR One +29.60
Brighterdaysahead +14.20
Gaelic Warrior
Line 5 Mike Total points 2023/24 +344.08
Marine Nationale +12.30 (injured)
Jonbon +74.05
Nemean Lion +25.20
Shiskin +22.93
Mr Incredible
Constitution Hill +27.20 (injured)
Botox Has +25.00
Monbeg Genius +2.90
Galopin Des Champs +105.00
El Fablio +49.50
Ashroe Diamond
Il Etait Temps
Line 6 Mike (LS) Donations Total points +246.39
Marine Nationale +12.30 (injured)
Facile Vega +12.42
Shiskin +22.92
Fastorslow +46.20
Gerri Colombe +13.02
Gaelic Warrior +39.90
Teahupoo +29.10
Corbetts Cross +15.60
Mirazur West +13.52
Ballyburn +41.40
Il Etait Temps
MikeKeymasterHi
We have sacrificed the Limerick meeting as we have so much to catch up on throughout the site especially with Cheltenham starting next week. But we will be using our 10 point bet here today by means of splitting the first part on our first two each way extras which are listed on the main Winning Post Tips thread over at Naas. If you are following the thread and it starts to get lucky we may well go in again dependent on how the first bets go. ?
1.07 Shraheen @ 22-1 for 10 places (2.5 points each way) = 5 points
2.17 Ragmans Corner @ 12-1 for 10 places (2.5 points each way) = 5 points
This uses all of our 10 point wager up and we see how these go before deciding to go with the third.
2.52 Warmer Days Ahead @ 16-1 for 10 places
MikeKeymasterHi Joe
I concur with the English fixtures and will be using them plus goals and cards on the main thread. Well one of them anyway sorry I have gone for City π
Best of luck mate π -
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