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MikeKeymasterHi
We have just finished resetting this particular thread for 2024. π We have left The Chris Gotterup Golf wager in for two reasons. Firstly as an example of the type of ‘Long Shot‘ bet we have been targetting over the years and also because we will be following him on tour this year.Β π
MikeKeymasterHi
A bit of a damp squid to end the year but such is life. π
This thread will be blank until the weeekend as the Irish Racing is on hold for five days which is the perfect opportunity for me to initiate the following change.
βThis website was my retirement plan when I started it just over five years and I will be retiring at the end of the month. π This is now a perfect time for me to clean up the site and re-vamp it so quite a few of the old threads may disappear be archived or be almagamated into new ones. If there are any members past or present who wish any specific threads to remain please let me know asapβ
MikeKeymasterHi
That was a bit better but still desperately unlucky
Connacht v Munster
Over 37.5 points Lost
Over 2.5 penalties Won
This bet totals 13/5
Ospreys v Cardiff
Over 36.5 points Won
Cardiff to win +2.5 points lost (in last three minutes)
This bet totals 10/3
Dragons v Scarlets Lost
Under 45.5 points Won
A yellow card in the match yesΒ Lost
This bet totals 20/21
Leinster v Ulster
Ulster to win + 13.5 points (banker bet) Won
Over 41.5 points Won
This bet totals 4/1
Out of the 8 predictions you had 5 right the banker bet came in @ 10-11 and the last bet won @ 4-1 so you would have made a profit on the day.
Out of the points total predictions
Connacht v Munster over 37.5 points @ 5-6 lost
Ospreys v Cardiff over 36.5 points @ 5-6 Won
Dragons v Scarlets under 45.5 points @ 4-5 Won
Leinster v Ulster over 41.5 points @ 10-11 Won
So again you would have cleared another profit I believe no pun intended if we tried linking these to our specialist ‘Rolling Maul’ bet and playing the banker bets we could take this thread forward.Β π
MikeKeymasterHi Suds
I have updated the odds on a couple of your wagers as I know you are out and about today. π
MikeKeymasterHi
Unfortunately we already have a non runner in Lake Manzaleh but we still have a couple going and will now be using both of the the win bets but for our New Years Day acca.
MikeKeymasterHi ‘Happy New Year‘
Here is the end of December update and nice to see all the lines over the 150 mark as we head into 2024.
Line 1 Early Doors (Mike) Total points 2023 +160.10
Protektorat +2.60
Stage Star +22.20
Iberico Lord +26.00
Monbeg Genius +2.90
Botox Has
Editeur De Gite +28.20
Allaho
LβHomme Presse
Bravemansgame +25.70
State Man +52.50
Line 2 Clarence (Suds) Total points 2023 + 152.52
El Fablio +22.20
Facile Vega +12.42
Fast or Slow +34.20
Ahoy Senior
Coolvalla
Luccia +24.20
Impaire Passe +1.10
Teahupoo +29.10
Bo Zenith
Captain Teague +29.30
Line 3 Rkay Total Points 2023 +201.35
El Fablio +22.20
Jonbon +72.75
Ahoy Senor
Bravemansgame +25.70
Coolvalla
Constituion Hill +27.20
Luccia +24.20
Maries Rock
Bo Zenith
Captain Teague +29.20
Line 4 Mgame Total points 2023 +197.32
Stage Star +22.20
Galopin Des Champs +53.80
Bravemansgame +25.70
Gerri Colombe +13.02
Monbeg Genius +2.90
Constitution Hill +27.20
State Man +52.50
Maries Rock
JPR One
Brighterdaysahead
Line 5 Mike Total points 2023 +191.15
Marine Nationale +12.30
Jonbon +72.75
Nemean Lion
Shiskin
Mr Incredible
Constitution Hill +27.20
Botox Has
Monbeg Genius +2.90
Galopin Des Champs +53.80
El Fablio +22.20
Line 6 Mike (LS) Donations Total points +170.94
Marine Nationale +12.30
Facile Vega +12.42
Shiskin
Fastorslow +34.20
Gerri Colombe +13.02
Gaelic Warrior +39.90
Teahupoo +29.10
Corbetts Cross +15.60
Mirazur West +1.10
Ballyburn +13.30
Although we will probably be having limited contact with the LS site in 2024 π the line remains and we will still donate a monthly contribution based on 1 point at SP for every winning runner in the line. It was a nice idea initially and these things happen but a promise is a promise and the line stays in under there name with a full 1/7 share (should we pick up any prize money).Β π
MikeKeymasterHi
Well return wise we wiped our nose today as Shana Cloon placed third and County Graduate came seventh when we needed sixth. πΒ However the good news for our 4yo database is that of the five horse we listed as being of interest “Billy Lee Swagger,Shana Cloon,Verbal Sparring, Keeptellinumnutin and County Graduate”. Billy Lee Swagger won the race, Verbal Sparring was second and Shana Cloon finished fourth so we were pretty chuffed with that and will hope to improve on it next year. π
Asa for tomorrow we have a few of interest but the markets are not all up yet so we will need to update the thread in the morning when the non runners have been declared etc etc.
Tramore 12.00 Lake Manzaleh 66-1 but we have taken 18-1 for 8 places
Fairyhouse 12.40 Lucky Two 100-1 but we have gone with 28-1 for 6 places
Fairyhouse 1.15 Custers Mistake @ 22-1 for 6 places
We may be using the following bets for a long shot accumulator for New Years Day in one form or another so these would have to be win bets usually without the favourites etc and we will update that option in the morning.
Fairyhouse 1.50 Cher Why Not 11-2 but we are looking to bet wtihout the favourite/s
Cheltenham 2.05 Al Dancer 12-1 but we are looking to go in without Stage Star and Richmond Lake
MikeKeymasterHi Suds
A tough day at the office with 2 of the 3 games just missing out by the odd point or conversion but stick with it your luck has to change soon and posting on here is always the kiss of death on new threads. π
I will put the basics up which I will be using in tomorrows accumulator but feel free to post something different as you see it. π
Connacht v Munster over 37.5 points @5-6
Ospreys v Cardiff over 36.5 points @ 5-6
Dragons v Scarlets under 45.5 points @ 4-5
Leinster v Ulster over 41.5 points @ 10-11
MikeKeymasterHi
We were going to give today a miss but with so many of our 4yo hurdlers running in one race today we just had to give it a go. In the 3.15 at Punchestown we have Billy Lee Swagger,Shana Cloon,Verbal Sparring, Keeptellinumnutin and County Graduate all going but we have settled on
Shana Cloon @ 14-1 for 6 places
County Graduate @ 12-1 for 6 places
You could have got 28-1 last night on County Graduate but such is life when you step in and fear to treadΒ π
MikeKeymasterHi Suds
I got my revenge there with Mercury Mission placing third unfortunately Mount Frisco as expected was a non runner but such is life. π We have nothing on here for tomorrow but will be back soon. π
MikeKeymasterHi
Line 6 has been a tad unlucky this month Mirazur West and Gerri Colombe came second and of course Shiskin fell two out when leading in the King George. Apart from that Marine Nationale and Gaelic Warrior both won easily and are bound to go in again. Fastorslow was a non runner today and both Ballyburn and Corbetts Cross run tomorrow.
Constitution Hill,Galopin Des Champs,Marine Nationale,El Fablio and Teahupoo have all also been winners throughout the lines and we will update the rest of the entries at the start of next month as usual.
MikeKeymasterHi
Game on Suds π but I think you know where I am going, as I am going to try two out from our 4yo data base listings. They are both at Limerick and the reasoning behind them will be included, if you are going to stick your head above the trenches you might get your head shot off but here goes.
1.30 Mercury Mission @ 12-1 for 4 places (Sky) is the best price currently available but bet365 had this one at 25-1 a few hours ago. Mercury Mission ran three decent consistant times on the bounce but then ran a stinker last time out. We believe that was due to not liking the Left handed track at Listowel and that todays return to a right handed track makes him worth a punt.
2.35 Mount Frisco also 12-1 maybe worth a second glance if it comes up heavy but we will update that one tomorrow if he runs (as he only ran a few days ago).
MikeKeymasterHi
I am updating the threads a little earlier than normal as we have a new member just signed up and it may hopefully give a clearer insight into how we roll….lol.
Leopardstown 12.05 Miss Gherkin 80-1 but we have gone with 20-1 for 8 places -2 points π
Leopardstown 12.05 Jerk 200-1 but taken at 35-1 for 8 places +7 points π Clarence (Sudsie)…lol
Leopardstown 12.05 Joyeaux Vivo 11-1 but we have gone with 7-2 betting without Jade De Grugy and Butcher Hollow
Leopardstown 12.40 Clonbury Bridge @ 20-1 for 6 places
Each Way Double -2 points π
Limerick 12.20 Only A Dollar 100-1 but we have gone with 17-1 for 8 places +3.4 points π
Limerick 12.20 Whateys Quest 100-1 but we have gone with 20-1 for 8 places + 3.8 points π
All of todays bets were deemed to be 1 point each way (most were each way extras with bet365) which is a standard term we use as it is up to the individual person what value they use as a point it could 10p or Β£10 it makes no diference to us the name of the game is to make a level stakes profit to a set stake hence today. We lost 4 points but made 14.2 points which gave us a +10.2 profit on the day. π
We do not give tips per say but opinions π but it is nice when you have a good day at the office. π
MikeKeymasterHi
Typical π Sudsie gets Jerk in whilst Jade De Grugy and Butcher Hollow finish first and second and Joyeax Vivo fades away….lol. -
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