Forum Replies Created
-
AuthorPosts
-
MikeKeymasterHi Hopefull
Nice to see a few winners coming in and you can more often than not get BOG (Best Odds Guaranteed) with some of the big firms so nothing wrong with posting prices the night before (if this option is available) Half the battle is getting the best value on your selections and look to take every edge you can get….lol.
MikeKeymasterHi
My Mr Vango is a non runner so in the tradition of the long shot punt on this site we will go with Fil Dor still available at 80-1 with William Hill this morning for 6 places. Iroko looks the safer bet (but is is a bit short in price), so Beauport at 22-1 for 7 places with Betfred looks generous as the next best.
MikeKeymasterHi
This is the problem with backing short priced ones each we had to put 7.5 points each way on Kish Bank and then a further 1.5 each way on Hamsiyan which meant we had a total out lay on the day of 18 points over two horses. Now fortunately Kish Bank won but with Hamsiyann not even placing it took the edge off the day.
There is nothing for tomorrow so we can update the thread for the time being.Happy Me -0.2
Big Dispute -1
Bishbashbosh -0.2
Kish Bank +10.50
Aspurofthemoment +10.8
James the Brave – 2
Tremaine -3 + -1 = -4
Ballybow +13.5
Lakota Blue -4 + -4 = -8
You Done Well -3
Medai Naranja -1
Batman Girac -3
Sony Bill -1 = -2 = -3
Willy De Houlle -3 (injured)
Commanche Moon (now) +2.6
Big Dispute -2
Queen Of Seduction -2 +5 = +3
Mujeres Isla (now) -2
Miss Mini Bee -2
Alright Darling (1/2 point each way @ 25-1) +2
Seskin Flash (1 point each way @ 14-1) = +1.8 +10.5 = +12.3
King Of the Bronx (1 point each way @ 14-1) = -2
Gala Marceau (1 point each way @ 14-1) = -2
Ethical Diamond (1/2 point each way @ 16-1) = +1.1
Dream Shaper -1
Bright Legend – 2.65
Hamsiyann (1.5 each way) = -3Running Total is now points +10.75
MikeKeymasterHi
Not much joy last week with Soprano being the only winner to give a return as although Forest won it was in extra time. This week it would be nice to get back on track with the following selections.Ospreys -5 to beat the Scarlets @ 4-5
Chepstow 1.40 Jet Of Dreams @ 9-4
Aintree 4.00 Three Card Brag without I Am Maximus & Iroko @ 14-1
Notts Forest to beat Aston Villa @ 5-2
Arsenal to beat Everton @ 19-20
Keith Mitchell to win the Texas Open @ 11-4The lottery numbers will be 4,7,16,23,26 and 50
MikeKeymasterHi
After the first days racing at Aintree we finally have a new line at the top which is the “February” line which now sits on +588.61 points. The long time leader the “Valheim” line remains on +574.61 and Sudsie has finally broken the 400 barrier after another season of non runners with +403.97.
MikeKeymasterHi
Queen Of Seduction saved the day yesterday and put us back in profit and was not to far off troubling the judge for the elusive win but I am happy enough with that as we have a couple of shorter priced ones going today which could crash us back into the red but could also make a nice double.Wexford 3.45 Kish Bank @ 5-4
Aintree 5.15 Hamsiyann @ 6-1 for 6 placesWe are still struggling with the what if they are not running in Ireland option but that is the question “Whether tis nobler in the mind to suffer the slings and arrows” of a lost winner (if it comes in). ? Also the backing each way of horses priced at 5-1 or less is also under discussion but we will run with what we have for the time being.
MikeKeymasterHi
As we head into the final weekend of the competition the lines have not changed and whilst there are limited runners entered there are still enough to alter the final positions and I will update the final positions next week. Here are the possible game changers.Lossiemouth
Constitution Hill
Gaelic Warrior
Quai De Bourbon
Jonbon
Romeo Coolio
Ginnys Destiny
Jango Baie
Djelo
Grey Dawning
Regents Stroll
Strong Leader
Three Card Brag
MikeKeymasterHi
We have three going tomorrow that all owe us something so this could go either way (squeeky bum time). But at least they all look like being minimum stakes wagers.Aintree 2.20 Willy De Houlle @ 16-1 for 4 places
Naas 3.45 Queen Of Seduction @ 50-1 for 5 places
Naas 4.10 Miss Mini Bee @ 14-1 for 5 places
MikeKeymasterHi
Although not a big bang finish, with Jackstell being a non runner the maul went down, but with Ciotog placing (sky etc 3 places) @ 22-1 you would have cleared a nominal +1.4 point profit on the day.
This means the thread has finished with a nice run of profits over the last three days which is no mean feat.
Hopefull has now started a new thread up In for a penny in for a pound and we wish him well.
MikeKeymasterHi
Well we finally got back on the score sheet today with Seskin Flash and I will confess I was beginning to think our luck would never change and with Bright Legend and Seskin Flash both being short priced the stakes can be devastatingly bad if it goes wrong. After the updates the total at the end of the month is now in deficit albeit only 0.5 of a point but not exactly what he had hoped for by now.Happy Me -0.2
Big Dispute -1
Bishbashbosh -0.2
Kish Bank -0.75
Aspurofthemoment +10.8
James the Brave – 2
Tremaine -3 + -1 = -4
Ballybow +13.5
Lakota Blue -4 + -4 = -8
You Done Well -3
Medai Naranja -1
Batman Girac -3
Sony Bill -1 = -2 = -3
Willy De Houlle -1 + -1 = -2
Commanche Moon (now) +2.6
Big Dispute -2
Queen Of Seduction -2
Mujeres Isla (now) -2
Miss Mini Bee (1/2 point each way @ 16-1) -1
Alright Darling (1/2 point each way @ 25-1) +2
Seskin Flash (1 point each way @ 14-1) = +1.8 +10.5 = +12.3
King Of the Bronx (1 point each way @ 14-1) = -2
Gala Marceau (1 point each way @ 14-1) = -2
Ethical Diamond (1/2 point each way @ 16-1) = +1.1
Dream Shaper -1
Bright Legend – 2.65Running Total is now points -0.7
MikeKeymasterHi
Well this may have worked out perfectly as Hopefull has indicated to me that he will probably be quitting this thread and moving on to another at the start of April and it is always nice to go out with a bang.
Yesterday proved to be a good day as Spycatcher, Soprano and Midnight Lion all won on the maul bet which would have been a +9 point profit had you backed them all or a +4.5 point profit if you had kicked to touch after the win. The each way punts had a couple of placed returns for a nominal +0.25 profit so it was good news all round.
Today Many Men won at 2-1 on the rolling maul which means if you had quit after the win, it would again have posted a profit of +2 or broken even if you played through. The each way bets again posted a profit of this time +7.2 points which made for a another profit on the day of between +7.2 and +9.2 points dependent on how you played the selections.
I was about to say it will be interesting to see if Hopefull posts again tomorrow or leaves it there…and I have just seen his post arrive in the thread…lol.
MikeKeymasterHi
Seskin Flash goes in the 2.20 at Downpatrick today and we are due a bit of good luck with this thread.
MikeKeymasterHi
As suspected although we did not get a market mover in the 3.02 Seasett became a non runner and Sir Carnegie although only finishing 7th ran a blinder at 50-1 and will be worth noting later on. The same trainer has Hewick running in the Grand National and that one has already attracted a bit attention.
The other one mentioned in the last post Midnight Eagle opened at 200-1 and went all the way down to 14-1 and although not winning is part of something we are working on around market movers.
Having mentioned the Grand National with relation to Hewick, as per usual we have been asked for our selections and I will have a chat with my (current) co conspirators to see if they wish to put one or two up but bear in mind as with Cheltenham this would not usually be a race we would normally cover and as a betting prospect should be treated as a bit of fun.
To start the ball rolling having mentioned Hewick where the big prices have already gone I would not put anyone off backing Mr Vango the 40-1 has gone but the 33-1 for 6 places with Sky looks a good shout with Non Runner No Bet attached.
MikeKeymasterHi
I was not sure whether you had noticed that Titanium is going out again today in the 5.10 at the Curragh he is 25-1 for 5 places. I know I have put Fort Vega up in the same race for the Beat The Lotto (£) but I am thinking if Titanium runs anywhere near his best at the very least he might be worth a shout at 10-1 for 8 places. ? -
AuthorPosts