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MikeKeymasterHi
After a cracking run by Littel Flour, Tom Kelly pulled up but then Doyen To Win placed (taken at 20-1) so al in all not a bad day.
As for tomorrow we will be having a look at the following over at Wexford
1.00 Spring Street 150-1
4.25 Diamboy Des Carres @ 22-1
We will be waiting for an each way extra price on Spring Street tomorrow.
MikeKeymasterHi
We cannot claim this for the site as I have only just managed to get on (working today) but Littel Flour just ran a blinder finishing 3rd at 28-1. Has she not hut the last we may have even had a winner.
Tom Kelly we have taken at 23-1 for 7 places and Doyen To Win at 20-1 for 4 places.
MikeKeymasterHi
I have yet to see the race but although well backed during the day apparantley Young Dev ran no sort of race. ๐ However we have a few to look at tomorrow but we will not be backing them tonight. We will be waiting until the extra markets in the morning before deciding which of the following to go for.
Galway 12.40 Littel Flour 12-1
Wexford 1.00 Tom Kelly 80-1
Wexford 2.40 Doyen To Win 33-1
MikeKeymasterHi
We are being restricted again even with simple bet builder multiple’s so will try the followingLeicester v Man City Haaland and Vardy 1+ shot on target @ 10-11
Bournemouth v Tottenham Over 1.5 goals and 10+ booking points each team @ 4-6
Brentford v Wolves Each team 3+ corners and 10+ booking points @ 8-11
Brighton v Chelsea Chelsea 1+ goals and 3+ corners @ 8-11
Crystal Palace v Southampton Over 1.5 goals and 10+ booking points each team @ 4-6
Newcastle v Aston Villa Each team 1+ corner each half and 10+ booking points @ 4-5
Fulham v Everton Over 1.5 goals and 10+ booking points each team @ 4-7
Liverpool v Leeds A goal and 4+ corners each half @ 6-5
Arsenal v Nottingam Forest Most goals in the secod half @ 1-1
Man Utd v West Ham Man United 20+ booking points @ 4-6These are only allowed to be placed as trebles so we will try this option ๐
MikeKeymasterHi
We will try just the one tomorrow which will be over at Galway and is as follows3.28 Young Dev at 66-1 for 6 places
MikeKeymasterHi
Walk In Time ended up being a non runner but Craic Elle landed 10th spot so we cleared a small +2.96 profit on the day. ๐ There is nothing for tomorrow but we will be back by the weekend. ๐
MikeKeymasterHi
We have a couple of each way extra’s over at Clonmel tomorrow which are as follows1.45 Walk In Time 66-1 but we have taken the 30-1 for 10 places and 40-1 for 9 places
2.20 Craic Elle 66-1 but we have taken the 22-1 for 10 places (option on 29-1 for 9 places)We have edited the prices on Walk In Time as they altered by the time we placed the bet and we will have to take those prices. However the prices are drifting out so it might be worth you waiting until late morning as the 66-1 is already 100-1 etc.
MikeKeymasterHi
It was a good start to the day when Cloudy Fountain came in but then the ground and our luck turned against us and the last three remaining runners all pulled up. ๐ This means overall we lost -2.6 points on the day but it’s been a good month so far and we still remain +40.8 points up with 7 days to go.
There is nothing on for today and it may go a little on the slow side this week while we start our groundwork for theย Ten To Follow competition which starts next month. ๐
MikeKeymasterHi
I have now done a first post mortem of both Joe’s and my first attempts and what has become glaringly obvious is that s the lack of ability to put one in the back of net that has thwarted most of our bets.
Here are my last five attempts using the new stats based selections.
Fulham v Aston Villa (30+ booking points + Over 1.5 goals + Mitrovic 1+ shot on target) @ 10-11 Won
Nottingham Forest v Liverpool game @ 8-11 Lost
Over 0 cards for Nottingham Forest
Over 1 goal for Liverpool
Over 4 corners for Liverpool
Man City to win with over 2 goals in the match @ 7-10ย Won
Everton V Crystal Palace @ 5-6 Lost
Over 0 cards for Everton
Over 1 goal for Crystal Palace
Over 2 corners for Everton
Chelsea v Man United @ 4-7 Won
Over 0 cards for Man United
Over 1 goal in the match
Over 3 corners for Chelsea
As you can see every part of my bets came in except the highlighted parts which were all goals that never materialised. ๐
As previously mentioned in a recent post the other problem is the amount of bets required to get a decent return and the type of bet that the bookmaker will accept in mulitples.
I have a possible solution which I wiil attepmt to explain a bit later as I am working on the maths as we speak. Unfortunately it will mean increasing our intial stake and taking the slow burn approach and even splitting the bet as we go but trying to pull off a dream bet is a tricky thing which very few people are even silly enough to try (but I love a challenge)…lol.
MikeKeymasterHi
It looks like the list of horses for this seasons NH ‘Ten To Follow‘ will be availble by the end of next week so if anybody is interested in joining in please let me know. ๐
MikeKeymasterHi
Here is an update of last nights selections1.45 Cloudy Fountain 100-1 but taken at 22-1 for 9 places
1.50 Wasini Island 66-1 but taken at 17-1 for 9 places
3.35 Siberian Star 33-1 Bet void horse now a non runner
4.10 Whiskywealth @ 20-1 for 4 places
4.45 Masterstonemasonย @ 33-1 Best price for 4 places 25-1 takenBoth the each way extra bets have options at 29-1 and 21-1 respectively for 8 places but the betting has been suspended at present, I am assuming due to the possiblity of late non runners.
MikeKeymasterHi
We did manage another return yesterday as we had two of the football bets up along with Bella Scintella but at short prices we still would have still not quite have broken even. With the lottery numbers not getting any returns we are “beating the lotto” but I do not count this as a result until we also get into a profit.
There are signs of encouragement as we have now had a return (a treble) up on two of the last three weeks,ย so there might yet be a light at the end of the tunnel (lets hope it is not a train coming the other way).ย ๐
MikeKeymasterHi
We had a treble up with the Man City v Brighton and Chelsea v Man United football bets winning along with Bella Scintilla but it was not enough to overcome the lost wagers which puts us right back at square one again.
Also as suspected /predicted of the 12 football bets I have had over the last week only 6 won which along with all of Joe’s puts both of us slightly better than average but no where nearer to achieving any sort of result.
Had we done them all as singles we would have neither been up or down profit wise and leaves me pondering our next move. It ws always going to be a tricky thing to try but we will persevere.
The best % strike we have achieved has been the lastest statistic based bets so we will try to start another slow burn accumulator off tomorrow in the Aston Villa v Brentford game.
Aston Villa to have 10+ booking points plus Ivan Toney to have 1+ shot on target and Brentford to have 3+ corner kicks which comes out @ 5-2
MikeKeymasterHi
We will be heading over to Limerick tomorrow for the following options1.45 Cloudy Fountain 100-1 (but awaiting each way extra price)
1.50 Wasini Island 50-1 but @ 17-1 for 9 places and 21-1 for 8 places
3.35 Siberian Princeย 33-1 @ for 5 places
4.10 Whiskywealth 20-1 @ for 4 places
4.45 Masterstonemason 33-1 (but awaiting extra place options) -
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