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MikeKeymasterHi
Well we only have the one day left of the festival and then we can return to normal. π
Here is the last placepot selection and lets hope for a change of luck we had another couple of winners today and another couple placed, but they don’t count for the placepot unless you get one in all six races. π
1.30 no 2 Ethical Diamond
1.30 no 12 Storm Heart
2.10 no 14 Faivoir
2.10 no 21 Afadil
2.50 no 2 Captain Teague
2.50 no 3 Chigorin
3.30 no 3 Fastorslow
3.30 no 4 Galopin Des Champs
4.10 no 5 Its On The Line
4.10 no 6 Premier Magic
4.50 no 1 Dinoblue
4.50 no 2 Allegorie De Vassy
As it is the last day we will throw in a cheeky each way double on Ethical Diamond @ 12-1 without both Majborough and Storm Heart along with Faivoir @ 12-1 for 6 places. π
MikeKeymasterHi
Apologies for the Players Championship wager as the competition had already started π but I will look for one for this weekend. π
MikeKeymasterHi
It has been a funny old Cheltenham so far not helped by the Henderson yard having issues but at the halfway stage we are at last gaining a few well deserved points. Our best Cheltenham lines look to be ‘LS’ with three winners so far Gaelic Warrior, Corbetts Cross and Ballyburn they still have Teahupoo and Facile Vega running today and Fastorslow and Gerri Columbe in the Gold Cup on Friday.
The next best line would be ‘Suds’ with two winners so far Ballyburn and Lossiemouth, but also has Teahupoo,Facile Vega and Ahoy Senor running today. The bonus factor here is that both Captain Teague and Fastorslow are both entered to run in seperate races tomorrow.
I have a line with two winners Gaelic Warrior and State Man and also have two going today Stage Star and Brighterdaysahead along with Galopin Des Champs and Gerri Columbe in the Gold Cup Friday. ‘Rkay’ has two winners on the board Fact To File and Ballyburn but would need Ahoy Senor to win today plus Captain Teague and/or Bravemansgame to win tomorrow. It’s a tough ask but lets hope one of these could get to the four or five winner mark by the end of racing Friday.Β π
MikeKeymasterHi
I think going for the corner option for just one team was not the best shout as everything else came in but not one of those. π
But we live and learn this is a relatively new database and we will be back in League 2 this weekend.
As for today Cheltenham has issues and the Irish racing is on hold so we will chance a football wager and go with a clean sweep for the England and Scotland teams tonight especially as there is a 12% bet boost on the acca with bet365.
West Ham @ 4-6
Rangers @ 15-8
Aston Villa @ 4-11
Liverpool @ 2-7
Brighton @ 8-11
With the bet boost this comes to a decent looking bet at just over 15-1
MikeKeymasterHi
As mentioned yesterday and even though we once again managed a winner and a few places from our placepot entries this Cheltenham although great to watch is not really a betting proposition this year and I have the feeling there will be an awful lot more non runners by the morning.
As yesterday we will throw in a placepot as Wednesday traditionally does have a decent payout if you manage to get it right. The first day paid Β£45.10 to a Β£1 today was Β£179.10 to a Β£1 but tomorrow I would expect it to be the biggest payout so far.
I will list our suggested placepot but will not place it until about 10.30 when the non runners are declared
1.30 no 4 Ginny’s Destiny
1.30 no 5 Grey Dawning
2.10 no 8 Gowel Road
2.10 no 16 Gaoth Chuil
2.50 no 5 Envoi Allen
2.50 no 10 Protektorat
3.30 no 4 Crambo
3.30 no 5 Dashel Drasher
4.10 no 3 Il Ridoto
4.10 no 19 Frero Banbou
4.50 no 2 Brighterdaysahead
4.50 no 3 Jade De Grugy
Now there are some big priced selections in there that we may have a dabble it (assuming they run) if you fancy a punt.
MikeKeymasterHi
Two bits of bad news for Cheltenham punters this morning the first is that the 4.10 the Cross Country Chase has been abandoned as the ground is waterlogged. The second is that Nicky Henderson is pulling his runners as it believed there is a health issue at the yard as his runners yesterday ran well below par. π
This is some compensation for us as we had tipped up Excello (one of the yards runners) yesterday at a huge price only for the horse to tamely drop out and pull up two out. We also had another of the yards runners Jeriko Du Reponet in our main section which also pulled up so we may well keep an eye on both of these should they run again before the season finishes.
This has thrown our plans into chaos but that is why we usually stick to Irish Maiden racing and now treat the festival meeting as a spectacle to watch rather than to bet in. π
We will revamp our placepot (below) as under the new setup you will need to put just one entry in the abandoned 4.10 race and it will be deemed a winning selection.1.30 no 3 Il Atlantique
1.30 no 7 Predators Gold
2.10 no 2 Fact To File
2.10 no 4 Montyβs Star
2.50 no 11 Jigaro
2.50 no 21 Doddiethegreat
3.30 no 3 Edwardstone
3.30 no 2 Captain Guiness (to replace Jonbon)
4.10 no 2 Coko Beach (counted as winner)
4.50 no 2 Saint Roi
4.50 no 7 Calico
MikeKeymasterHi Suds
Everyone is trying to jump on the retirement band wagon….lol. When it comes to Cheltenham it’s a nightmare especially when the ground comes up testing but I would be surprised if you didn’t get a run for money with your selections.ππ€
MikeKeymasterHi
The two long shots ran well enough considering the huge fields and tough going with Exello in the lead group all the way round until giving up and pulling up in the boggy ground. An Bradan Feasa ran a cracker but faded into eight place on the run in.
It was a different story however with our race selections used for the placepot which were as follows
1.30 no 8 Mystical Power 2nd
1.30 no 5 Jeriko Du Reponet lost
2.10 no 3 Gaelic Warrior 1st
2.10 no 5 Il Etait Temps 3rd
2.50 no 17 Chianti Classico 1st
2.50 no 22 Weveallbeencaught lost
2.50 no 16 Twig 2nd
3.30 no 3 Irish Point 2nd
4.10 no 1 Ashroe Diamond lost
4.50 no 15 Lark In The Mornin 1st
4.50 no 7 Milan Tino lost
With this in mind we just have to dabble again tomorrow with the following
1.30 no 3 Il Atlantique
1.30 No 7 Predators Gold
2.10 no 2 Fact To File
2.10 no 4 Monty’s Star
2.50 no 11 Jigaro
2.50 no 21 Doddiethegreat
3.30 no 3 Edwardstone
3.30 no 8 Jonbon
4.10 no 2 Coko Beach
4.10 no 10 Minello Indo
4.50 no 2 Saint Roi
4.50 no 7 Calico
Best of luck to all who play tomorrow and if your looking for long shots I would not put you off either of the following, who are mentioned in the placepot and both have Best Odds Guaranteed.
2.50 Jigoro @ 12-1 for 8 places
4.50 Calico @ 22-1 for 6 places
MikeKeymasterHi
We had a nice start with our League Two database the other day so we will go in again tonight
Crawley v Notts County Notts County over 5.5 corners @ 1-1
Crewe v Sutton Crewe Over 5.5 corners @ 4-5
Grimsby v Milton Keynes over 4.5 corners @ 4-6
Newport v Morcambe Over 1 goal = over 7 corners @ 0.53-1
Swindon v Accrington Over 1 goal + over 8 corners @ 0.57-1
Tranmere v Mansfield Over 1 goal + over 8 corners @ 0.85-1
This comes out as an approx 40-1 acca and should keep you on the edge of your seats if nothing else. π
MikeKeymasterHi
We have had a request to put a couple of Cheltenham long shots down (as we used to back in the day π ) so here are our pricewise tips for the day….lol.
2.50 Excello @ 33-1 for 7 places
Excello being an ex French horse who raced primarily on Heavy ground should appreciate the extra cut in the ground today and although he has not set the world alight since racing over here was a decent sort in France. Excello when racing in France won all his races from the front so if the yard believe stamina is not an issue today, you might see this grey go off in front and try and make all the running.
4.50 An Bradan Feasa @ 25-1 for 6 places
An Bradan Feasa has been clocking some serious times all season. This one has course and distance form the yard is in cracking form and although beaten 8 lengths by (todays current favourite) Liari last time out, has a reasonable pull in the weights today and might be worth a look.
But bear in mind with these two races they are minefields of possibilities with over 20 runners in both of them so I would be thinking to take any reasonable price for as many places as you can get. π
MikeKeymasterHi
Well that went well π Lake Manzaleh pulled up and Joke Dancer fell but at least it was only a cheeky double so no damage done. π We are left with Cheltenham all week which is a great spectacle but from a betting prospective is a difficult ask. Hence our main wager everyday will be the placepot.
We will use our Ten To Follow selections as a base for this bet tomorrow.
1.30 no 8 Mystical Power
1.30 no 5 Jeriko Du Reponet
2.10 no 3 Gaelic Warrior
2.10 no 5 Il Etait Temps
2.50 no 17 Chianti Classico
2.50 no 22 Weveallbeencaught
2.50 no 16 Twig
3.30 no 3 Irish Point
4.10 no 1 Ashroe Diamond
4.50 no 15 Lark In The Mornin
4.50 no 7 Milan Tino
My particular set of selections are based on 2x banker bets (to be placed) and extra selections in the big handicap races.To work out the stakes you must times the number of selections in each race by the number of selctions in the other races ie with mine it would be 2 x2 x 3 x 1 x 1 x 2=24. That means the bet will cost 24xΒ whatever stake you choose ie 10p = Β£2.40 at minimum stakes. The bet is a pool bet similar to the lottery whereby it depends how many winners there are as to what share you recieve. But is a bit of fun and you can win big if you get lucky (especially if the favourites do not get win or get placed).
MikeKeymasterHi
Here is a cheeky one to start the week off Suds when chatting online with me about the spreadsheet had noticed that one of the Irish runners in the database was racing at Taunton today.
Now this can often happen when the racing is thin on the ground and an opportunity is seen further afield. Today Patrick Griffin has taken two runners across the sea to Taunton and one of them Lake Manzaleh is having his handicap debut. We have decided to go with a cheeky each way double but to take the cash out option but only if Lake Manzaleh wins.
3.10 Lake Manzaleh @ 14-1 for 4 places
4.40 Joke Dancer @ 8-1 for 4 places
The extra places and prices this morning are with Sky Bet. π
MikeKeymasterHi Joe
I do believe that makes for a 6-1 winner today ? which breaks your 9 goal jinx. π
I wonder what odds you could get on exactly 9 corners…lol.
MikeKeymasterHi
Apart from my football bet above which lost Suds came out with a profit from the the wagers for the Six Nations on the Suds..goes under the posts π thread and Joe is about come in with a profit from his Joe.. goes to the corner π goes to the corner thread.
My Mike’s Retirement Plan thread had a cracking day at the office so its hats off to everybody this weekend. π -
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