[Mike]

Hi
Nothing of note today but with Blind Beggar placing 5th (on the option bet) it would have been three placed out of four yesterday so it look like there may be a light at the end of the tunnel. Lets hope it’s not a train coming the other way…lol.

[Mike]

Hi
Apologies for late post but had a minor setback and spent most of the day sleeping..lol. But I can see that “Hopefull” has already had two places and Lazy Sunday 12-1 had looked like a winner until late on when going down by less than a length. He then followed up with Haliphon who was best priced 18-1 when I got to it (but I believe was bigger this morning) so another good shout there. There is one more to go Blind Beggar and this looks the trickiest race of the day and although 40-1 in places for 3, 15-1 for 5 would be my best option.

[Mike]

Hi
I will stick my twopenneth back in today as although Hopefull has posted Dees Dream available at 33-1 for 4 places at present I will confess my knowledge of the AW would not be my specialist subject on mastermind.
However from a list of possibilities sent to me last night there were two which I deemed of interest and one of them ties in nicely with a post on the Speed Ratings Irish Hurdlers thread we have been dabbling with.
Wincanton 2.45 Gold Link 18-1 but the 23-2 for 4 looks worth a dabble as this one is dropping back in grade and trip and could be worth a check in the markets later.
Catterick 3.00 Pittsburg 28-1 This one is low grade plodder but is a course and distance winner who has dropped back to a winning mark. This race is winnable and its these low grade races that usually produce the shock results. The 14-1 for 5 places looks worth a punt and for the glory hunters the 18-1 for 4 places is a viable additional option.

[Mike]

Hi
Well at least we got a treble up this week to win the competition and with the golf bet coming soooo close it could have so much better.

Fairyhouse 11.30 Asian Master @ 4-1
Fairyhouse 12.30 Beyond Your Dreams @ 11-8 Won
Fairyhouse 1.37 Fishery Lane @ 1-1
Fairyhouse 3.22 Future Prospect 1-1 Won
Chelsea To Beat brentford with BTTS @ 13-10 Won
Marcus Kinhult to win the Alfred Dunhill Championship @ 11-2

We will be back again this weekend if you fancy joining in for xmas.

[Mike]

Hi
As we are unlikely to get another bet on now before the boxing day bonanza today seemed like an ideal opportunity to explain our strategy by way of the each way extra bets. Now as highlighted in the above posts (fortunately) both of our 35-4 wagers for the site came in for a small profit but this begs the question why this type of bet. Well as you may have guessed by our mentioning the bit of fun bet on Miss Mini Bee we had personally gone in with more than our 35-4 for 9 places. In fact although the 50-1 betting without the favourites lost (by just one place) we did get the 12-1 for 8, 17-1 for 7 and 19-1 for 6 in as well. Yes we did lose the 50-1 for 5 but were still pleased with the result. The idea behind the bet is if you truly believe the bookmaker has got it wrong  you need to bet with an edge. The edge here is the fact that today’s selection would have to have finished 8th or worse for us to have sustained a loss. Now at 150-1 we would have lost out if he had won the race and possibly looked a bit embarrassed but not really as the combined odds had she even just managed third place behind behind the favourites would have totaled over 100-1.
When the new year comes around we will be using this bet as standard in one format or another and it will be linked to our new Irish NH database. 🙂

[Mike]

Hi
We will be going in with Miss Mini Bee now 150-1 but at 35-4 for 9 places for the site. However those looking for a bit of fun the 50-1 betting without both Karoline Banbou and Qualimita is the long shot of the day.
We had mentioned a few weeks ago before I was rudely interrupted by a heart attack the principle of the each way extra now I will use todays selections as examples.
Trade Master was available at 25-1 but was also available with bet365 at the following prices when we placed the bet last night
27-4 for 7 places 35-4 for 6 places 23-2 for 5 places 13-1 for 4 places
The price on our selection was 25-1 with bet365 but generally 16-1 in most places which we thought gave us a value bet.
However Miss Mini Bee was 33-1 with bet365 and 100-1 with most firms so we left that one until the markets settled. This mornings The horse was now 150-1 everywhere which gave us the opportunity to go in and select from the following prices
35-4 for 9 places 12-1 for 8 places 17-1 for 7 places 19-1 for 6 places 23-1 for 5 places 35-1 for 4 places
We have highlighted the most likely option for a small profit for the site and will explain later what we have done (one step at at time)…lol. But you will notice that although available at 23-1 for 5 places, with the favourites likely to finish in the top four betting without them at 50-1 would give you double the odds and a chance for win just by placing.

[Mike]

Hi
We will try and throw the odd one in until the xmas festivities start and these two might be worth a glance over at Naas tomorrow

2.00 Trade Master 25-1 but 35-4 for 6 looks best
2.30 Miss Mini Bee 100-1 but we will wait until the markets settle before posting a price

[Mike]

Hi
A tad unlucky today as the reins snapped on Albatala as he took the lead and ran out off the course. 🙁 But Coumeenoole placed fourth and made the day bearable. There is nothing for tomorrow but we will try and sneak a few bets in before the boxing day bonanza.

[Mike]

Hi
Of today’s selections it was a case of close but no coconut Bold Reaction came 5th we needed 4th, Alabatala had just taken the lead four out when (unbelievably) the reins snapped and the horse ran out.
Hello Miss Lady missed the place by a neck in a photograph but Charlie Uberalles saved the day with a win at 17-2 which means you would have wiped your nose on the day and had you gone with the option B prices you would have actually turned a profit on the day.
Hopefull’s selection for tomorrow is available at 12-1 tonight for 4 places with Sky.

[Mike]

Hi
Apologies for the late update the weekend is always busy here are price options as I see them
12:25 Doncaster Bold Reaction 16-1 or 12-1 for 4
12:40 Cheltenham Beachcomber 28-1 or 13-1 for 5
13:02 Fairyhouse Albatala 25-1 for 4 or 12-1 for 6
14:05 Doncaster Charlie Uberalles 17-2 for 5
16:30 Wolverhampton Hello Miss Lady 5-1
18:30 Wolverhampton Buttercross Flyer 16-1 or 10-1 w/o Lady Wingalong

[Mike]

Hi
Of my last attempt Van Demon placed but the other two let us down but it was no disaster on the day so we will have another dabble this time at Fairyhouse tomorrow.

1.02 Albatala 25-1 for 4 but 12-1 for 6 looks the safer option
1.37 Coumeenoole 20-1 for 3 but 10-1 for 5 looks best (so far)

[Mike]

Hi Suds
Nearly back on track and will fill the gaps with the following slightly riskier wagers for tomorrow

Fairyhouse 11.30 Asian Master @ 4-1
Fairyhouse 12.30 Beyond Your Dreams @ 11-8
Fairyhouse 1.37 Fishery Lane @ 1-1
Fairyhouse 3.22 Future Prospect 1-1
Chelsea To Beat brentford with BTTS @ 13-10
Marcus Kinhult to win the Alfred Dunhill Championship @ 11-2

The Lottery Numbers will be the usual 4,7,16,23,31 and 50 until someone else joins in.

[Mike]

Hi
As I am getting back into the swing of things I will just put the option B prices down (if any)
7.00 Dundalk Aljadel I am assuming Hopefull has gone 18-1 for 4 places ? but(16-1 for 5 is an option)
1.15 Cheltenham Tintin @ 9-1 for 4 looked solid and is shortening
1.25 Doncaster Arqoob looks the bet of the day if you got last nights 12-1 for 3 as this one is now 7-1 and shortening
2.40 Bangor Captain Potter 33-1 for 3 but option B for us would be 20-1 for 3 without Plaiser Des Flow

[Mike]

Hi
Everyone is being a bit tight with the prices this morning but a far as extra places go here are the best options as I see them.
Van Demon now 20-1 but 11-1 for 5 places looks the best option
Gimme A Break now 66-1 however we have gone 29-4 for 9 places
Marine Ranger now 40-1 but 10-1 for 7 places (is best we can get)
Now this race all depends on how the two the two imports at the head of the market perform and they my well clean up here leaving a trail of beaten horses behind them. But we see this race as a possible opportunity here and we see the above as the safe options for the site.

[Mike]

Hi
To further dabble with the idea we will try our luck with three selections in the 12.00 at Cork tomorrow but will have to update the prices when the extra markets are formed
Van Demon 14-1
Gimme A Break 50-1
Marine Ranger 33-1

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