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MikeKeymasterHi
Just a quick update to say the best price we can get on Kadys Dirha betting without the top two is 4-1 but we will settle for that as it gives us the prices we required for our doubles. As a footnote Tiffanys Girl is one to keep an eye on for future reference but 10-1 for 6 looks the best option today.
MikeKeymasterHi
Hello Jack placed Workinonadream won and I thought Slieve Annilog had placed but unfortunately there had been a non runner which means we only got the one double which is the difference between profit and loss on the day. We are going to Cork tomorrow and have the following selections lined up.
1.05 Wardens Whisper @ 11-4
1.40 Kadys Dirha 20-1 but we will be looking to go without Autoportrait and The Story So Far
4.00 Lau And Shaz @ 5-2
These would again be each way doubles and we will update when we get a chance.
MikeKeymasterHi
We have enough time before tonight’s racing to update the thread so far to show you how the rolling maul works (each time you win you increase your stakes). There are other ways of working this bet but this is the simplest form of the idea.
Theonewedreamof 1 point @ 3-1 lost = -1
Ideal Des Brosses without Muskoka 1 point @ 7-4 won = -0.25 (stake goes up to 2 points)
Benmore without Juventus De Brion 2 points @ 13-8 lost = -2.25
Eternal Angel 2 points @ 1-3 lost = -4.25
Rattling Road 2 points @ 6-4 won = -1.25 (stake goes up to 3 points)
Workinonadream without Swing Davis 3 points @ 5-4 won = +2.50 (stake goes up to 4 points)
Kazakh without One Horse Town and Kev 4 points @ 4-1
Now comes squeaky bum time as with the final selction Arcadian Nights being a non runner and Kazakh being a big drifter if Kazkh comes in we are up for the day (no matter what) and have 5 points going on Star Pupil @ 4-6 if he loses we will be -1.5 with 4 points going on Star Pupil to get us back in profit for the day.
MikeKeymasterHi
We have gone with Glens Sensation @ 11-1 for 6 places with 14-1 for 5 noted as an option for the brave (there is some method in the madness for going with both..lol)
As for the other three we are going to place them in each way doubles at the following price options
1.40 Hello Jack @ 7-2
2.15 Workingonadream @ 11-4
2.50 Slieve Annilog @ 10-1 without Fishery Lane and Quantum Quest
MikeKeymasterHi
As the thread has been a little quiet of late and even though Jikala did indeed get placed for a small profit the other day, Hopefull sent me an e-mail last night with the following list of selections for today.
12:30 FAIRYHOUSE Theonewedreamof 7/2
12:50 WINCANTON Ideal Des Bordes 7/4
13:00 NEWCASTLE-AW Benmore 9/2
13:25 WINCANTON Eternal Angel 4/6
13:35 NEWCASTLE-AW Rattling Road 6/4
14:15 FAIRYHOUSE Workinonadream 9/4
17:30 CHELMSFORD-AW Kazakh 6/1
18:00 CHELMSFORD-AW Star Pupil 10/11
20:00 CHELMSFORD-AW Arcadian Nights 7/1
The idea being can we do something with them(as they are shorter prices) apart from the obvious doubles and trebles which in this case would be option A. The only option we can think of is to use the rolling maul system which have used in the past (with some success) to see if we can build up the stakes to form an accumulator.
We will try it out and compare the returns tonight or tomorrow morning just to see what happens. For those unfamiliar with the rolling maul system this will be a useful example thread. Firstly we need to ensure we have obtained the optimum chance of a win as these will all be win bets. We do this by giving an edge to the proposed selections that are not at the head of the betting market by betting without the favourite/s. The tricky part will then be getting our first winner to start the maul off but once going you then have the option of driving forward or going sideways by splitting your stakes but you cannot take a backward step….lol.
Hopefully you will get the idea as the day progresses. The first bet is Theonewedreamof at 3-1 with Skybet. The second bet would then be Ideal Des Bordes @ 7-4 betting without Muskoka (bet365) then Benmore @ 13-8 without Juventus De Brion etc etc.
MikeKeymasterHi
That was always the worry today as you never two good days on the bounce but we were not too disappointed as we had a 9-1 winner in Falcon Park and Addragoole should have easily placed had the horse taken a tumble at the last fence. Beautiful Chaos finished fourth we wanted 3rd and Johnny Cakes was backed down to 9-4 favourite from 12-1 but unfortunately did not land the gamble.
We have a few over at Fairyhouse tomorrow but will be waiting for some options before going in
1.40 Hello Jack 4-1
1.40 Glens Sensation 66-1 (Each way extra required best so far 14-1 for 5 places)
2.15 Workinonadream 7-2
2.50 Slieve Annilog 28-1 we would like a bet without Quantum Quest (and possibly Fishery Lane)
MikeKeymasterHi
After our bit of success the other day it may well be a case of after the lord mayors show (comes the dung cart) but we will try the following over at Clonmel tomorrow. As the prices are not great each way doubles looks the best option.2.00 Beautiful Chaos @ 7-1
2.30 Addragoole @ 9-4
3.05 Falcon Park @ 11-2 for 6 places
3.40 Johnny Cakes @ 12-1 for 4 places
MikeKeymasterHi
Well no big returns but with four of the selections coming in we turned a profit and added another winning week to our tally.
Fairyhouse 12.00 Bacchanalian @ 3-1 Won
Ffos Las 12.12 Dunskay @ 7-4
Arsenal v Man United Draw with BTTS @ 15-4 Won
Punchestown 12.55 Lecky Watson @ 1-1 Won
Punchestown 2.25 Salvator Mundi @ 5-6 Won
Sahith Theegala to win Sony Open @ 18-1We will be back again this weekend to see if we cannot grab that elusive acca….lol.
MikeKeymasterHi
Its been a bit quiet on here with both selections being non runners on Monday and with nothing running today lets hope Jikala gets a run tomorrow currently 9-1 for 3 places.
MikeKeymasterHi All
That’s what we call a good day at the office12.48 Castleheath @ 20-1 Won
2.18 Miss Mini Bee 20-1 but @ 14-1 betting without Magic McColgan Won
3.18 Fancy Prospect @ 16-1 for 4 places PlacedWe were only Fancy Prospect not winning for a 5,432-1 Treble but the 64 dollar question is was it a fluke or have the last two years building this data base been wasted. There will be no bet from the data base tomorrow but we will be back soon.
MikeKeymasterHi
Typical….We both pick the same horse and Sudsie gets the better price….lol. We will put that one down to Suds with a nice 22-1 winner as that was Sudsie’s first tip from the new data base. 🙂 You do realise we will be expecting more. ???.
MikeKeymasterHi
One non runner already but A Pint Of Bear @ 16-1 or option B 14-1 for 4 places looks a reasonable shout. This one is back on a reasonable mark and has a decent claim which means it could be today or never.
MikeKeymasterHi
We have had a dabble each way at all the bigger odds selections overnight and here were the options. We may have missed the best prices on some of them but its swings and roundabouts in general.
12.48 Castleheath @ 20-1
2.18 Miss Mini Bee 20-1 but @ 14-1 betting without Magic McColgan
3.18 Fancy Prospect @ 16-1 for 4 places
MikeKeymasterHi
As trials go we had no returns but strangely we are quite happy with the predictions as when the each way extras came out you could have got a price on Titanium for ten places (he came tenth). As for the rest the only horse that upset the apple cart for our other suggestion was Brave Brigadier as we forecast the top four as being
Kappa Jy Pyke 1st @ 1-1
Don’tstopthemusic Vying for 1st when falling at the last fence
Bowensonfire 3rd @ 8-1
Come On The Lads 4th @ 50-1
Hence if Don’tstopthemusic had not fallen at the last we would have had four of the top five at a good spread of prices.
As for tomorrow we return to Punchestown this time to trial a placepot amongst other things using the following selections
12.48 Castleheath 22-1
1.18 Makfils 8-1 (4 places)
1.48 Miss Mini Bee 14-1
2.18 Birmingham Alabama 5-2
2.48 Custom Taylor 5-2
3.18 Fancy Prospect 18-1 (4 places) -
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