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MikeKeymasterHi Suds
I am convinced …I will be going with “You Done Well” (now 20-1) but @ 14-1 without Dromore Glory & Someones Wish.
MikeKeymasterHi
It was a reasonable start today with Rays The One placing at 16-1 for the each ways. The maul missed out by one when Pittsburg followed Cloudy Wednesday home but Ginger Johnny spoiled the party. The next two will be hard pushed as they are both big drifters but you never know.
I will be out for the rest of the day but hopefully by the time I get back Hopefull will have chalked another one up.
MikeKeymasterHi Suds
Thanks it’s nice when they come in but embarrassing when you put up a 100-1 shot at 35-1 and the bugger gets placed…lol.
We are going to try another of the bets soon as we prepare for Cheltenham but obviously we will need at least two banker bets as a base for the bet and which two to use is the 64 dollar question.
As for today we will just throw a cheeky each way double in (the old enemy hate these…lol)Thurles 2.35 Milo Miller @ 7-2
Thurles 3.10 Herja 10-1 but 9-2 without Pour Les Fillies & Youlita
MikeKeymasterHi
Suds is working and has asked me to keep an eye on the markets and 9-1 3 places without Tramuntana looks the best option.
MikeKeymasterHi
Squeaky bum time again here yesterday as we had to wait until the 4.35 for Demoiselle Kap for the first winner which we had at 13-2 and fortunately Addosh placed in the same race at 11-4 which means once again we dropped a couple of points again but nothing too drastic. Todays list from Hopefull has a change of tack with some bigger prices so we have some options betting without the favourites today. This may well be the way to go as we use this trick quite often ie yesterday on the Winning Post Tips thread.
12:40 HUNTINGDON Rhodia 6-1 option B 3-1 without Sangiovese & Tramuntana
13:10 HUNTINGDON Pittsburg 6-1 option B 9-2 without Supoerstylin & Cloudy Wednesday
13:45 HUNTINGDON Block Rockin Beats 14-1 option B 7-2 without Jax Junior & Califet En Vol
14:00 THURLES In The Trenches 11-2 option B 15-4 without Wee Charlie
19:30 SOUTHWELL-AW Dash Gordon 5-4
E/W OR PLACE
12:40 HUNTINGDON Rays The One 14-1 option B 10-1 without Sangoivese 3 places
13:10 HUNTINGDON Bring The Action 12-1 4 places
15:05 FFOS LAS All Under Control 14-1 4 places option B 9-1 3 places without Shady B & I See The Sea
15:55 DONCASTER Shes A Rocca 7-1 3 places
18:30 SOUTHWELL-AW Create 33-1 option B 13-1 without I Cant Believe & Northern Cracksman
18:30 SOUTHWELL-AW First Dynasty 50-1 option B 16-1 without (the above)
MikeKeymasterHi
That worked out really well and turned out to be a very good day at the office
2.25 Puturhandstogether @ 2-1 Placed
2.55 Atlantic City 100-1 but @ 35-1 without Legionnaire Forez & Good To Be Alive Placed
3.25 Karoline Banbou @ 4-5 Won
3.55 Lilian Bland @ 8-1 for 4 places Placed
4.25 Doyen Flyer @ 5-1 for 4 places Non Runner
Now I know the Non Runner helped but the 35-1 placed horse boosted the returns no end. I know we could have had 100-1 on that last night and this morning but betting without the favourite’s had to be the shout as we were close to a win with that today.
However as this was only the second try at this bet the 10 1 point each way trebles and each way accumulator made a whopping +140 profit on the day which was a early birthday present for me.
MikeKeymasterHi
Which ever way you cut the cake yesterday you would have had one winner for the maul at 7-2 and a 4-1 win on the each way wagers which would have left both sections of the thread down on the day but only by a point or less so its still live to fight another day territory.
I will try and follow the thread a bit closer today the only change I would initially make would be to switch River Robe to the each way bets.
Most of the maul bets are actually favourites but I will try and sift through the races to see if we cannot get an edge betting without the favourites ie Fils Dor @ 3-1 without Sa Majeste in the early race.
MikeKeymasterHi
One win two places might not be much to shout about but the main purpose of the match was to try something out for Cheltenham and we will try this out using trebles today at Fairyhouse which is a bet along the same lines.
2.25 Puturhandstogether @ 2-1
2.55 Atlantic City 100-1 but @ 35-1 without Legionnaire Forez & Good To Be Alive
3.25 Karoline Banbou @ 4-5
3.55 Lilian Bland @ 8-1 for 4 places
4.25 Doyen Flyer @ 5-1 for 4 places
MikeKeymasterHi
Thanks Suds for putting up the option B maul (I have updated prices) and I will add an option C to see if we cannot get back on track.
Option B
Market Rasen 2:10 Emotional Roller 5/2
Taunton 2:25 Stormy Flight 10-3 without The Doyen Chief
Taunton 3.30 Camino Rocio 21-10 without Lady Pretender
Taunton 4.05 Activist 7-2 without Diesel Line
Newcastle 5.00 Asadjumeirah 7-2 without Time Patrol & Athollblair Bay
Option C
All of the above selections but in each way trebles for 3 places
This leaves the following list of runners as each way singles for 3 places unless stated otherwise13:55 TAUNTON Wasthatok 33-1 for 4 places or 25-1 for 5 places
15:10 MARKET RASEN Barricane 40-1
15:10 MARKET RASEN Bridge North 18-1
15:10 MARKET RASEN Velasco 12-1
18:30 NEWCASTLE-AW Crack On Boys 4-1 for 2 places
19:00 NEWCASTLE-AW Leodis Dream 9-1
19:30 NEWCASTLE-AW Retirement Beckons 14-1 or 12-1 for 4 places
MikeKeymasterHi
Had you gone with the each way options you would have got one placed yesterday but is was an unlucky week for most of the threads and Hopefull has lost out on four photo finishes last week which is about as unlucky as it gets. We have now gone back to level stakes and todays selections will be crucial but you just have to have a little faith sometimes…lol.
Argento Boy looks the solid option for a win all the others could be considered as each way wagers as an option B for the day.
MikeKeymasterHi
We had a few winners at the weekend but not enough or the right ones…lol. The Valheim line is still our best line and is now on a very respectable looking 456.78 points. The Feb line has 324.14, Mgame is on 299.12 and Suds despite have only 8 running is on 241.11 the rest of the lines are on 240 or less. Most of the horses will now not run until Cheltenham so now is the perfect time to reassess your options as to replacing runners you are not sure of.
I will put up some options with a full update of the lines by the end of the week.
MikeKeymasterHi
It been one of those weeks Media Naranja getting blocked in Batman Girac falling at the last (when in fifth and staying on), Sony Bill and Willy De Houlle finished 4th and 5th when we wanted third etc etc. But such is life it means we are however still confident of a return to winning ways soon and as all four bets were big prices and only cost us the minimum wager of 1 point 1/2 point each way which means we are still in profit. Here is the update for those following the thread.Happy Me -0.2 points
Big Dispute -1 point
Bishbashbosh -0.2 points
Kish Bank -0.75 points
Aspurofthemoment +10.8 points
James the Brave (backed at 1 point each way @ 10-1) – 2
Tremaine (backed at 1 point each 11-1) -2
Ballybow (backed at 1.5 points each way @ 15-2) +13.5
Lakota Blue (2 points each way) -4
You Done Well (1.5 points each way) -3
Medai Naranja -1
Batman Girac -1
Sony Bill -1
Willy De Houlle -1Running total now stands at +7.5 points
MikeKeymasterHi
It was that kind of week this week Hopefull had four photo finishes on his thread and all four went against him we had three Fallers across the threads. This thread could only manage one result and two close calls including England grabbing a last second try to kill one bet and VAR robbing us of a football bet. But do we complain…? Of course we do…lol. It just means this week is going to be better.
MikeKeymasterHi
Good And Clever and Storm Heart both placed but Search For Glory lost out so no great shakes either way today but for tomorrow we have decided to have a little competition where Suds and I will pick a set of 10 each way doubles and an accumulator to see who wins the most or maybe more to the point who loses the least on the day. Feel free to join in but it must be on the same the races as listed below and the prices must be taken from Paddy Power to ensure a level playing Field.
The races are all at Punchestown and my selections are as follows.
2.00 Don’t Tell Jack @ 2-1 without Ethical Diamond & Kainsbourg
2.30 Love At Sea @ 9-1 without Johnny Blue & Lehaunstown
3.05 Balko d’Ange @ 9-4
3.40 Son Of Anarchy @ 13-8 without Argento Boy
4.10 Slim Marvel @ 6-1 for 4 places -
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