[Mike]

Hi
Well wouldn’t you just know it, of the four 100-1 shot horses in our (to follow) list, that all ended up running in the same race. We randomly picked two of them for 10th place Open The Gate finished 11th and Elle Dorado Rock finished 12th. The two we left out Out The Gap finished 5th and Ned The Smith finished 8th.
Life is like that sometimes  🙁 . To cap a bad day off Cracklinrose pulled up (hopefully not injured).
Fortunately, there is not much on the horizon until later in the week which will give me a chance to continue with the revamp on the site, but we will be back shortly.  🙂

[Mike]

Hi
All four run in the 2.35 which is a bit of a conundrum, but we will stick with our original selections.
Open The Gate @ 21-1 for 10 places and 25-1 for 9 places.
Elle Dorado Rock @ 26-1 for 10 places and 33-1 for 9 places.

[Mike]

Hi
Wee Terry was only ever in conention for the first mile but with half a dozen of the runners pulling up we will keep him in the notebook for managing to at least finish the race.
Tomorrow see’s today’s non runner Cracklinrose turn out in the 3.10 at Listowel and we have gone straight in at 20-1 for 5 places with bet 365.
In the 2.35 we have a hatful of each way extra opportunities with Open The Gate 66-1 and Elle Dorado Rock 100-1 being the probable selections. Out The Gap 100-1 and Ned The Smith 100-1 are possible options, should we get a hatful of non runners.
We will confirm tomorrow morning when the extra markets are published.

[Mike]

Hi
Crackilnrose is indeed a non runner but Wee Terry has managed to get in the starting line up in the 2.10.
However, be warned he is drifting like a barge and is out to 150-1 which obviously indicates I am the only person on the planet who thinks he will not finish stone last.  🙁
With this in mind, for the thread we have taken 29-1 for 8 places and 40-1 for 7 places both available in the each way extra markets with bet 365.
For those more adventurous types, although this one is unlikely to get involved until getting a few more runs under his belt, you can get 80-1 betting without both Scenic Look and The Gradual Slope.

[Mike]

Hi
Morepowertoya drifted wide around the final bend and despite running on had lost all hope. Justanotherbottle reared up in the stalls and although declared officially as a runner Sky bet have decided it was a void bet.
“15.45 Epsom Downs – In line with our ‘Fairness Campaign’ we have voided your bet on Justanotherbottle as the selection was slow from the stalls leaving it with no chance in the race”
This left Soapy Stevens who placed 3rd at our advised 9-1 which means for the second day in a row, we neither win nor lose which seems a waste of time and effort but such is life.
As for tomorrow we have a couple of runners over at Kilbeggan
2.10 Wee Terry @ 150-1
3.55 Cracklinrose @ 33-1
Both are listed as reserves at present, so may not get a run and as we will be looking for an edge in the extra markets we will update the thread late tomorrow, after the non runners have been declared.

[Mike]

Hi
With Alex D placed sixth at 33-1 and the others missing out you would have stayed onside had you just done Alex D but strayed offside if you had done them all. So very much a case of living to fight another day.
However as a footnote if you watch the replay, Alex D’s jockey has a canny look over his shoulder on the run in and eases the horse off (so keep him in your notebook for next time).
As for Saturday we have another runner from our list of horses to follow and two for the flat.
Morepowertya (our to follow horse) goes in the 1.15 at Tramore we have gone in tonight at 33-1 for 4 places.
The obvious winner here is Stilyker who is already odds on and being backed as if he cannot lose.
You would be have to an idiot to back against him, but as he has not raced for nearly a year I am that idiot. Maybe in the extra markets you could bet without the favourite if you are so inclined.
Shock horror ! I very rarely dabble on the flat but I fancy a little flutter on the following at Epsom.
3.45 Justanotherbottle @ 12-1 for 7 places
5.15 Soapy Stevens @ 9-1 for 5 places
I would not put anyone off risking a few pennies on the above and with all the extra places on offer an each way double might be the steal of the day.

[Mike]

Hi
Stuck at work today 🙁 but will quickly give you the updated options on Alex D from last night.
You can get 33-1 for 6 places or 50-1 betting without both Burran Song and Baron Wild.
South East Star 66-1 goes in the same race but can be had at 25-1 and 33-1 respectively for the same style of bet.
Midnight Fortune 150-1 goes in the 4.50 at Down Royal but is up against it, so the 33-1 betting without Anna Buniba and Sit Down Lucy looks the best option.
As I said not much on today and the weekend as usual looks the best opportunity for a decent punt.

[Mike]

Hi
Not much to shout about for tomorrow, but I have another one running from my current list of horses to follow so feel obliged to take a punt on him.
The horse in question is Alex D and he runs in the 6.11 at Tramore. He is currently priced up at a 100-1 but although he has potential he is not an easy ride. Therefore, I will be looking for a decent price in the extra markets and will update the wager in the morning. I like the booking of Shane Fitzgerald and if he can get the horse to settle, we might sneak a small return.

[Mike]

Hi
Unfortunately thats the way the cookie crumbles, as both bets went down. However the first bet the 250-1 one, only went down by Scotland not scoring in the first half. Both teams scored in the second half both teams collected 20+ booking points and both teams had 2 or more corners in both halves.
I could have cashed out the second bet but was never really tempted.
For those who are still getting there head around this type of bet go over to the Long shot of the week (archive) thread to see, how when we have had a bit luck it can pay mega bucks. On the flip side it is a risky bet and check out the long losing streaks (that can occur) when you dabble with long odds wagers.

[Mike]

Hi
I hope this gives you an idea of how we tip on this site and at half time although Scotland haven’t scored both teams have had 2 or more corners Ukraine have scored and there have already been three yellow cards.
This means the first bet unfortunately is down but I believe it was well worth a punt at 250-1.
Now the fun starts in the second half for the 150-1 shot as Yarmelenko has already scored and Malinovsky has already been carded. We just need McGinn to score and Hanley to get booked. We already have a cash out option and can make a small profit, but not enough to tempt me so far.

[Mike]

Hi
That was a bit better as we got four legs of the placepot up at low stakes which worked out as follows (for those who missed the original thread).
Tipperary
Leg 1 No 11 = 1 bet
Leg 2 No’s 3+9+16 = 3 bets
Leg 3 No’s 10+15 = 2 bets
Leg 4 No’s 7+9 = 2 bets
Leg 5 No’s 2+9 = 2 bets
leg 6 No 4 = 1 bet
This meant that at 1/4 point per bet we had laid out 6 points as we had selected 1x3x2x2x2x1 = 24 bets(24x 1/4 = 6)
The selections highlighted placed so the return was 1x1x1x2x2x1 = 4 dividends
The tote divdend paid 31.1 points to every 1 point bet we had 4 dividends which means we had (4x 1/4 = 1) a 1 point dividend return of 31.1.
We then deduct our outlay of 6 points which gives us a tidy enough +25.1 point profit on the day 🙂

We have left this post in just to show how a placepot works, especially as it was one of the best bets for May which ended up +27.8 points up.

[Mike]

Hi
Assuming no non runners interfere with the bet this is tomorrows placepot option.
Tipperary
Leg 1 No 11
Leg 2 No’s 3+9+16
Leg 3 No’s 10+15
Leg 4 No’s 7+9
Leg 5 No’s 2+9
leg 6 No 4

[Mike]

Hi
We lost the last wager in May which means we ended up +55.80 points up for the festival/month but I am more than happy with that. 🙂
We will be closing/removing/editing some articles and threads, but will throw the odd selection on here from time to time until the revamp of the site is completed.
As you can see we are starting to adapt the thread back to a forum/tip section by introducing a few comments please feel free to join in. 🙂

[Mike]

Hi
Well after the Lord Mayor’s show comes the dung cart and yesterday was that day. 🙁
Imitation Game came close but the only other good thing was that due to non runners two of the bets became win singles only. But this still means we lost six points and now stand at +57.80 points up for the festival/month.
Unfortunately we do not have a lot on for today and will start the site revamp next week so the threads may go a little quiet after todays wagers.
Obviously both are at Punchestown and we have taken these two as each way singles.

3.10 Anibale Fly @ 10-1 for 5 places
5.30 Heia @ 14-1 for 6 places

[Mike]

Hi
These are the days you long for  🙂

Lilith won taken at 15-2 and Exit To The West placed at 25-1. Add this on to the previous winner and place from our earlier bets and we cleared a profit of +39.30 points today.  🙂
This means going into the final two days of both the month and the Punchestown meeting we are now up by +63.80 points.
I am unfortuately working tomorrow so will not be able to savour the moment but obviously must have a punt to see if we cannot beat our record month. Obviously we are staying at Punchestown and with little chance for an update tomorrow I will list all my final selections tonight.

3.40 Imitation Game @ 20-1 for 4 places
4.15 Grand Bornard @ 20-1 for 5 places
4.50 Rapid Response 40-1 but 18-1 betting without Elimay
5.25 Teahupoo @ 16-1 (but most likley to be a non runner)

All the above for the purpose of the thread, are our new standard one point each way singles.

[Author]

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