[Mike]

Hi (again)
It surely does come to he who waits 🙂 with Spurs getting a late winner we have just hit our first winner of the thread and at 100-1 it has just made my day,week and month. 🙂

[Mike]

Hi
Ten minutes to go and squeaky bum time for the site as both Tottenham and Southampton have scored in both halves, there have already been ten corners, it was level at half time so we just need Tottenham to go on to win. 100-1 shot here we come.??

[Mike]

Hi
Apologies for last night but these things happen and in the current circumstances I cannot guarantee being around for tonights matches.
Therefore I will take an early punt on the Tottenham v Southampton game and will hope for the same level of commitment as was shown in last nights matches.
I will go with both teams to score in both halves over 9 corners in the game and the game to be a draw at half time with Tottenham going on to qualify. This bet carries the usual odds of 100-1.

[Mike]

Hi Nick
The thread has certainly kicked off in style as all four of Sundays runners won and this has obviously kick started all the lines. 🙂

[Mike]

Hi
We have a handful of runners going in at the start of the competition and although unfortunately Paisley Park and Champ have already won this was the day before the competition started, but such is life. 🙁
Yesterday as the competiton started we had a runner in Mister Malarkey who ran with credit but could not start us off. We have a few chances today by way of Honeysuckle, Bacradys, Fakir D’Oudaries and Envoi Allen who all run at Fairyhouse.

[Mike]

Hi
For those wishing to make there own entries here is a link to the tote site which hopefully explains everything https://tote.co.uk/ten-to-follow

[Mike]

Hi
In answer to an e-mail query as to why I run threads such as this as looking for a 100-1 shot “as it is all but impossible and surely cheapens the site” I would disagree and politely point out that this thread has made a profit in both the first part (single selections) and the second part (multiple selections). Now these may not have been 100-1 returns but the possibility is always there. 🙂
Now just to prove the point here are two links to threads that I used to run when posting on OLBG as mc1000 a few years ago before starting this site off.
https://www.olbg.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=31&t=61739&start=12 this one shows that Funny Oyster was available and given as an upgraded tip at 100-1 betting without Bastien. Now as Bastien won the race and Funny Oyster was second this means that Funny Oyster was a 100-1 winner.
https://www.olbg.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=31&t=60251&start=12
This one Drummullagh Rocky was put up as you can see at 66-1 but drifted out to 100-1 and duly won the race and with BOG (Bets Odds Guaranteed) paid out at 100-1.
Now I am not suggesting that these come around every day but as in both of the above threads and this one all I can say is that they all turned a profit and there is nothing in the world quite like tipping one up (even if the losing streaks can be embarrassing).
I have also mentioned a few times this is not a tipping site but merely a place I can put my opinions or ideas down and hopefully get a few like minded people together to join in. 🙂

Regards Mike
(I will attempt to answer all e-mail queries but please follow the site rules and although I will not post them without your permission please keep them polite. This is a free site and if you have lost money on a selection posted on here I feel your pain..but it happens).

• This reply was modified 6 years, 6 months ago by Mike.
• This reply was modified 6 years, 6 months ago by Mike.

[Mike]

Hi
Despite my best protests unfortunately although I thought had finally managed the 100-1 return the dreaded rule4 on a late non runner shattered the dream.
The results from the Wexford five read as follows with there revised prices when the bet was placed were as follows:
1.55 Cash Me Outside (9-1) 7-1 Placed
3.40 Trenchtown Rock (14-1) 12-1 Won
4.15 Presenting Princess 14-1
5.20 Churchtown Glen (10-1) 9-1 Placed
5.50 Miss Cognac (10-1) 14-1 Placed
These were top and tailed to make five each way fourfolds and would have made a return of 102.82 obviously less the 8 points (on the losing fourfolds) which would have made a return of +94.82 points but I would have settled for that. 🙂
Unfortunately despite my protestations to the old enemy over the timing of the last non runner the actual profit after the rule 4 and the losing fourfolds only came to +77.96
points.
To say I am gutted is an understatement but such is life. This leaves me just the Punchestown festival to get the +100 points win home. 🙁

• This reply was modified 6 years, 6 months ago by Mike.

[Mike]

Hi All
I have had to wait until this morning for all bets to be settled before I could finish the full post mortem for the thread as there were a few minor deductions that I had not allowed for when using the new edit bet scheme on bet365.
Having had a brilliant start with a win double for a profit of +231 points in the first bet things soon went to pot but the next bet made a profit all the same.
Coral Cup Canardier 16-1 6 places 1/4 odds
Fred Winter Chief Justice 33-1 5 places 1/4 odds
Pertemps Wait For Me 50-1 5 places 1/4 odds
Martin Pipe Conditional Early Doors 8-1 4 places 1/4 odds
This bet was originally had six selections and got a little complicated due to being altered twice but ended up with four runners a non runner and a small stakes deduction but returned an each way double a win and place single and a place single. In the end although that sounds a good return it only made 31.32 points plus a reduced stakes return 3.92 points which made a total t return of 35.24 less reduced stakes of 21.56 making a small profit of +13.68 points on the bet.
The next cleared its reserve by scraping a return but I will settle for those all day long.
Champion Hurdle Sharjah 9-1
Champion Chase Sceau Royal 14-1
Ryanair Chase Aso 16-1
Stayers Hurdle Bapaume 20-1
Gold Cup Might Bite 14-1
This one was another unaltered bet so stood as an each way double on Sceau Royal at 14-1 and Aso at 16-1 which returned 22.5 points which led to a +0.5 point profit.
The next set of each way selections returned a loss as with a non runner I could only manage a single place return on Whisky Sour for 6 points less the 22 points laid out means I ended up -16 points on this one.
The last set of each way selections made no returns so ended up -22 points and the win bet which was not originally part of the thread but must be included lost me -12 points.
This means I ended up +195.18 points on the festival that does not seem a lot for the effort put in but at any given time I had the opportunity should the gods of racing have taken pity on me to have made more than enough to retire on but had a well grounded base which I was convinced was going to recover most of my outlay.
My biggest dissapointment was not managing to get an each way accumulator in but even that was always going to be tad optimistic in the given circumstances.

[Mike]

Hi All
Just a quick post mortem tonight in which three of the four runners lost although I thought I was a tad unlucky with Kildisart and Baupame both finishing fourth and just missing the magic place return required.
The best return on the day was Aso who was a close second and brings up an each way double on one of the bets with Might Bite still to run.
This means that as I go into tomorrow I have one completed winning bet one bet with a guaranteed return and the other three still running.

[Mike]

Hi All
The post mortem for the second day reads a lot better as the first of my ante post bets has been completed and fortunately has produced a winning double and reads as follows:
Supreme Novice Hurdle Mister Fisher 11-1 Lost
OLBG Mares Hurdle Roksana 16-1 Won
Ballymore Novices Hurdle City Island 10-1 Won
Talkischeap is now a non runner at the festival
Champion Bumper Abacadabras 25-1 Lost

The bet which ended up with just the four selections returned two win and place singles and a win and place double making a return of 241 points and a 230 point profit.
This was good news but in fairness I had stated earlier “This bet is probably my best chance of a return as all of the runners are showing tonight at less than double figures so fingers crossed“.
I still have one bet yet to start and the other three are in various stages of completetion and hopefully I can get a further return from one of them.
All of the remaining bets should now stand as they are unless of course there are any non runners declared over the next two days.

[Mike]

Hi All
I have to post a change to one of the bets as Ballywood has just been declared a non runner and I have just added Canardier who goes in the Coral Cup.
The original bet was as follows:
Coral Cup Early Doors 16-1
(Non Runner)
Fred Winter Chief Justice 16-1
Pertemps Wait For Me 33-1
Kim Muir Impulsive Star 12-1
(Non Runner0
Grand Annual Ballywood 20-1
Martin Pipe Conditional Flawless Escape 25-1
(Non Runner)
The new bet is listed below:
Coral Cup Canardier 16-1 6 places 1/4 odds
Fred Winter Chief Justice 33-1 5 places 1/4 odds
Pertemps Wait For Me 50-1 5 places 1/4 odds
Martin Pipe Conditional Early Doors 8-1 4 places 1/4 odds

[Mike]

Hi All
Here is the post mortem of the first days racing with regard this thread.

As first days of the festival go this was strange one I had two fallers one brought down and another badly hampered but such are the joys of betting at the festival.
My redemption was Roksana who not only pulled out my first return as an each way single at 16-1 but also kicked off a few each way doubles for tomorrow involving City Island in the opening race and Abacadabras in the lucky last.
I had indicated that this was probably my best bet of the festival but I am reliant on the ground not making the races a war of attrition as the later races turned out to be today.
The other bets did not fare so well and one is already reduced to one selection which is Whisky Sour in the Randox on Friday.
Of the other bets they are all still plodding on and I will update again tomorrow with the post mortem on my selections for day two.

[Mike]

As a final thought win lose or draw I hope this has been a worthwhile thread to follow and thanks go out to Rob and David for getting involved especially Rob as it is rare for me to take a punt on someone else’s work but Frodon at 20-1 for the Ryanair is still looking good.

I will attempt to use some these selections everyday for the other threads just to keep them ticking over but unless there are any alterations due to non runners it is now time to face the music and hope the post mortem on this thread is not going to be too depressing. 🙂

[Mike]

Hi All
Having checked through this morning for non runners etc I am relatively happy to start updating the second batch of ante post bets that have been listed on this thread but obviously none are cast in stone until they run.
My only ante post bet placed as win options has been hampered by Clondaw Castle now running in the Arkle as I was convinced he was going to be real deal in the Close Brothers Handicap later in the day.
This leaves me with win singles on short priced runners which is fine but as a tactical option I will replace him with Benie Des Dieux in the OLBG Mares Hurdle as I have a cracking price on my each way shout with Roksana who has shortened up to be second favourite.
Champion Hurdle Apples Jade 15-8
OLBG Mares Hurdle Benie Des Dieux 10-11
(Clondaw Castle non runner now goes in the Arkle)
Champion Bumper Envoi Allen 3-1
JCB Triumph Hurdle Quel Destin 6-1
Foxhunters Chase Ucello Conti 5-1
This bet remains the same which is 10x win singles and an each way accumulator however I may have lost a point or two when altering the bet but that is swings and roundabouts as I gained a price on Ornua in a previous bet.
It should be noted win bets are not my forte but as I have designs on entering this site for a tipping competition next year thought I had better get some practice in…lol.

The next bet is looking a little weak at the moment but as the rest it was designed to try and get an each way double in and is the only original bet still standing in its original glory and would be a huge to boost to me if I could get a return from this one.
Champion Hurdle Sharjah 9-1
Champion Chase Sceau Royal 14-1
Ryanair Chase Aso 16-1
Stayers Hurdle Bapaume 20-1
Gold Cup Might Bite 14-1

This bet has possibilities and has a non runner so also now has the 4 each way singles 6 each way doubles and an each way accumulator. However all of these run later in the week so may be subject to an upgrade if any further non runners appear.
JLT Novice Chase Kidisart 16-1
Mares Novice Hurdle Lust For Glory 11-1
JCB Triumph Hurdle Picd’orhy 12-1
(Kapkorse is now a non runner at the festival)
Foxhunter Chase Caid Du Berlais 20-1
With the exception of Lust For Glory all the other runners have shortened up to 8-1 or less and this would be another big boost for the thread if I could get something back here.

[Author]

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