[Mike]

Hi
It’s slow but sure progress at the moment with the the extra market wagers dropping -0.29 overall due to Urbs Intacta Manet and Danny the Champ not performing, but The Dancen Kid saving the day by making the frame.
The Bet builder came in though for a +5.50 which gave us +5.31 for the day and gets us up to +20.11 overall. There is nothing for tomorrow but we have a few declared later in the week.

[Mike]

Hi
The Dancen Kid has attracted some support but Danny the Champ although looking friendless at present still might spring a surprise so we will go in with the bet builder.
Therefore although a bit risky (as we already have 3 points laid out) both to finish in the top 9 looks a reasonable shout at 11-2.

[Mike]

Hi (nb)
There are a few runners declared from our lists before Cheltenham but they are mine so I do not hold out much hope. Fancy being beaten up at your own game (maybe I should pick up my ball and go home for tea)…lol.
Today
Leopardstown 4.25 Quai De Bourbon
Tuesday 2nd March
Leopardstown 3.25 Daydream Nation

[Mike]

Hi
Its hats off to G (Mgame) this month with an incredible 7 wins and the first player to hit over 100 points in a month (although with Cheltenham this month that should happen again).
The monthly points totals are as follows
Mgame +100.78
Suds +40.44
Joe +33.99
The overall competition points totals have obviously seen a new leader in G.
Mgame +193.43
Joe +172.0
Suds +149.51
Rob +137.96
Both monthly £5 free bets go to Mgame and this leaves the side cash competition as follows and anyone wishing to go early for Cheltenham just let me know.
Suds +£36.13
Mgame 2x £5 unused
Rob 2x £5 unused
Steve 1x £5
Joe 1x £5 unused
The bets are all still £5 win bets but can be without the favorites etc on a horse running from your list. The exception being if you manage to convert your free bets to cash you can then split your stakes but the bet must still be win bets on the runners from your list.

[Mike]

Hi
There will be a bet builder in the 3.55 tomorrow but for tonight we have three 1/2 point each way long shots for Leopardstown tomorrow.

2.55 Urbs Intacta Manet 150-1 but we will go with 30-1 without both Petit Secret & Playtime
3.55 The Dancen Kid @ 33-1 for 5 places
3.55 Danny The Champ @ 40-1 for 5 places

[Mike]

Hi
We had a couple of winners last week by way of Blow Wind Blow and Wales for a no score draw in the competition but it would be nice to grab another treble for a clear cut win again this week.

Navan 1.18 Moulin Labbe @ 11-8
Navan 1.50 Galileo Dame @ 1-1
Navan 3.00 Hens Tooth @ 3-1
Navan 4.08 Found A Fifty @ 8-11
Kelso 5.10 Push the Button @ 11-8
Ospreys +5 to beat Ulster @ 10-11

The lottery numbers will be the usual 4,7,16,23,26 & 50.

[Mike]

Hi
This one is not going to be popular but is declared to run in the Pertemps fits the bill and could still be literally anything.The selection is Absolutely Doyen this one has been a revelation since joining the Nicholls Yard and has yet to be put under any pressure but you can only beat what is in front of you and having made hay off a light mark may still have more to offer.
The last run has made sure he is rated high enough to get in and I am surprised he was not rated a little higher.
However at 14-1 for 4 places he completes the first part of the jigsaw that is the Handicap Hurdle races over the festival. I have deliberately targeted those 5 races as I will now be looking to put up my usual 5 horse each way doubles and accumulator option as the next step.
I will be looking into the other races at Cheltenham but the Irish hurdling scene has been my main target this year and I will be looking forward to the Punchestown Festival in April where we hope to finish the season off with a bang.

[Mike]

Hi
With the festival just around the corner it will be tricky to play catch up with the other threads so I will post a quick summery of this threads results to date.

To Follow Horses (Hurdlers) +17.55 points
To Follow Horses (Chasers) -1 point
Bet Builders -3.70 points
Extra Market Wagers +1.95
Total to Date +14.80 points

This is better than the last update and should have been much higher but I had to play safe to steady the ship when the thread got off to bad start. This involved not backing a couple of short priced ones which duly trotted up but such is life. The aim is still to back To Follow horses to win 10+ points. Bet builders are still 1 point unless otherwise stated and Extra Market wagers are flexible but usually involve 1 point options.

The To Follow horses are obviously the most profitable but no surprise there as that is just a continuation of the Ridiculous Ideas for 2025 thread. So far we have had 3 go in….
Harty Cup
Agameoftwohavles
He’sgonethatway
But there are already four that owe us money and we are chasing…
Dearg Mor
Carried WIth Love
Jacko Star
Ready For Road

I will get the usual friendly advise to drop bet builders etc but the idea is to expand the use of the data base and I am still confident of turning the other sections around. The To Follow Chase horses are not providing many runners but we will stick with the premise.

[Mike]

Hi
I thought I had pulled off a bet builder as well but think I took my eye off the rest of of the field jumping two out…lol. But it was nice to get another one of the To Follow horses home as if Harty Cup had lost I would have dropped 9 points (including the bet builder) and this would have taken me back to -4. As it stands we got our 10 point target (actually +10.80) today but lost the point on the bet builder so we finished +9.80 up on the day.
This leaves us on +14.80 in total and with nothing going until possibly the 2nd March that will give me time to try and replenish the list with a few new horses. I will also break the bets down into there new sections To Follow, Bet builder etc and post them to show how the new extended thread is panning out.

[Mike]

Hi
I won’t lie that was squeaky time for me as I rarely watch them live but having missed the early price when I said expensive earlier I would have been stung personally and also for the thread, if Harty Cup had not hit the frame. The fact that he won has also restored my faith in the system and I will update the thread later when I have the full result for the bet builder as well….Phew.

[Mike]

Hi
In the Martin Pipe Conditional Handicap Hurdle I have just the one bet to put up early doors which is Newbrook Diamond this one is ultra consistent having clocked four decent times on our figures and if getting a run there is no way I can see this one being available at the 33-1 currently on offer. This one hails from the Gordon Elliot yard is only declared for this race and looks to have been laid out for this. There are only the 4 places on offer at present but I really cannot see this one not getting involved.

[Mike]

Hi
Apologies for any issues encountered late last night or early hours of this morning there was a little security update needed. Everything looks back to normal but please let me know if any issues are encountered.
Whilst this was going on I missed the 5-2 having missed the early 11-4 on Harty Cup (the to follow horse) so with best price 9-4 (BOG attached) this is going to be an expensive day if he misses the frame. The bet builder is also on @ 10-1 which has Harty Cup top 2 finish along with Comanche Moon and Nukies Artic for top 5 finishes.
It has been a hectic few days with a few site issues but Cheltenham brings its own problems outside of betting but rest assured all of your details are safe and are not shared with anybody.

[Mike]

Hi
The right horse in Blow Wind Blow who won at 12-1 its a real shame the idiot who runs the thread did not back it as a single. This means we dropped 2 points on the day which puts us back on to +5 now. We have three going tomorrow in the same race over at Clonmel.

2.38 Harty Cup 5-2
2.38 Comanche Moon 8-1
2.38 Nukie’s Artic 20-1

We will go in with Harty Cup as a to follow horse when BOG becomes available and will add in the bet builder when the markets are up.

[Mike]

Hi
I have a few thoughts on the County Hurdle and the first is why bother it’s too complicated but joking apart from the data base a couple look interesting off low marks such as Roc Dino which is a Mullins entry. This one has been well and truly put it its place but this has been by the likes of Mighty Park etc and there is no shame in that. However being a Mullins entry the 14-1 is too short to consider early doors.
The one I am going in early with here is Celtic Dino @ 25-1 for 4 places (NRNB) this one is lightly raced but has not been disgraced at level weights against black type winners such as Sir Gino and Woodhooh. My only concern is that he has not been tried around Cheltenham and appears to be better going right handed. ? But as I say lightly raced and if running looks a decent shout at the price.

[Mike]

Hi
I am torn between a handful of runners in the Coral Cup but using the same principle as before taking the big prices now using NRNB is a shot to nothing so here goes. This again is a Handicap Hurdle and from my original shortlist I am concerned about the trip with my original fancy I Started A Joke and at 12-1 looks to short in the betting.
This leaves three and I am going with all three hoping one will line up on the day the first is Galileo Dame @ 40-1 for 4 places this one is an interesting entry and I am surprised to see her still in as I had expected her to go elsewhere. She is a dual purpose mare who has contested some decent flat races but wasn’t disgraced behind Cousin Kate last time out.
The next one is a Coyote Spirit @ 33-1 for 4 places a Gordon Elliot trained runner who knows how to set one up for this race and he gets in off 10-1 in the weights. From the same yard is Open Secret @ 33-1 for 4 places who as a bonus has had a run at Cheltenham gets in off 10-5 and this one is ultra consistent. Jack Kennedy swapped from this one and got beaten by him last time out and it will be an interesting conundrum to see who he goes for on the day having ridden both of the above.
nb. There will probably be extra places on the day etc etc but at 1/4 odds 4 places and your money back if they do not run you could do a lot worse than go in early. As a perfect example one of the earlier bets Donnacha mentioned by both Rob and myself and advised @ 20-1 is now best price 14-1 and still shortening up.

[Author]

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