[Mike]

Hi
The first day of the Punchestown festival see’s the following runners heading the declarations.

4.50 July Flower (Moi)

6.05 Il Etatit Temps (Rob)
6.05 Majborough (Mgame & JoeH)
6.05 Marine Nationale (Rob)

This would see Rob looking in pole position on the first day but it’s a funny old game.

[Mike]

Hi
We are to all intents and purposes in the last 10 days of the competition which will end on the 2nd May after the last race of the “Punchestown Festival”. Mgame looks the likely winner at present of both this months and the overall competition especially if Jonbon can finish the season with a bang tomorrow. However Joe, Suds and possibly Rob could still get involved in one or both If they get the rub of the green.
Suds looks to have the cash competition sewn up (especially with Andy’s Woodland Park running a stinker) and would not need to go in again unless Rob can pull a rabbit out the hat with his unused bets but again that’s also a difficult ask.

[Mike]

Hi
No worries Suds it’s been along week..lol. We had three in last week for a return and a win so we are back on track.
Bellewstown 2.05 Ole Ole @ 4-5 Won
Bellewstown 3.15 Fiver Friday @ 13-8 Won
Ayr 4.15 Laguna Beach @ 10-1
Bellewstown 4.25 Struck Oil @ 11-4
Ospreys +2 to beat Sharks @ 10-11 Won
Arsenal to win or draw against Man City @ 10-11

Here are this weeks chancers….
Munster -28 to beat Ulster @ 10-11
Aston Villa to beat Fulham @ 6-4
Sandown 1.13 Cloaks Of Gold @ 7-1
Sandown 2.55 Thistle Ask @ 7-4
Sandown 4.02 Jinko Blue top 2 finish @ 1-1
Sandown 4.40 Calimystaic @ 5-4

The lottery numbers are 4,7,16,23,26 & 50

[Mike]

Hi
I fear there will be no shortcuts when entering into the exchanges (I have been following the markets since last night) and it looks like we will have to go in for a full race, price every runner and be the first to post. This is a very risky proposition but when I see a race I will throw it out on here for an opinion on the suggested tissue odds then I will have someone else to blame when it all goes wrong (only joking)..lol.
We will keep an eye out until five minutes before the off tonight but I cannot see a viable option at present. The most glaringly obvious thing that’s missing is that I will have to devise a way to price the top finish market in comparison to the likely SP. ?

[Mike]

Hi
Just as well we waited as we have managed some extra places without to much hassle.
4.50 Desert Haven 7-1
4.50 McLoughlin 10-1
Both of the above for a top 7 finish @ 3-1 for the standard 1 point win.
5.23 The Dancen Kid is now availble @ 9-1 for 5 places
6.28 Anodandawink 10-1 in the extra markets is 9-1 for 6 places
Both of the above are 1/2 point each way singles.

[Mike]

Hi
Just to keep everyone updated I have not forgotten about this thread and Sean has helped me with a basic but useful tool that we will dabble with as a precursor to our exchange aspirations.
In the 4.50 at Kilbeggan tomorrow we will be looking to take on (in theory) Piccolo Player, Survivors Sister, Coolboy Christy & Jury Belle for top 4/5 finishes.
In theory we will be backing Desert Haven, Kabylia, McLoughlin & Must meet Cecil for a top 4/5 finishes.
The current “Wild Cards” are Chanceawetmorning & Lady Doyenne.
Obviously it all depends what prices become available but I will try and be first one up.

[Mike]

Hi
Lincall was a non runner and Maxicourt ran out of steam so we drop back down to +7.89 but have a few options at Kilbeggan tomorrow with a handful of extra market runners.

4.50 Desert Haven 7-1
4.50 McLoughlin 10-1
5.23 The Dancen Kid 6-1
6.28 Anodandawink 10-1

There is no hurry with any of the above and we will wait until the extra markets open up.

[Mike]

Hi
We will go with Lincall 1/2 point each way @ 9-1 for 4 places in the extra markets with bet 365.

[Mike]

Hi
A Snow White Park went a close fourth losing by a head but obviously being an extra markets horse maybe I should have waited for the extra place. ? But it is what it is and we now stand at +8.89 and have two going tomorrow at Tramore which are as follows.

4.10 Lincall 11-1
5.00 Maxicourt @ 18-1 for 5 places
We have gone 1/2 point each way with Maxicourt but will wait to see if we can get something better on Lincall.

[Mike]

Hi
We had the bet builder in and a couple of places but at the end of the day only made +1.65 profit which takes us to +9.89 but it was close to being so much more.
I only have the one runner tomorrow which is a chase race entry and only an extra markets horse but bet365 have put up a silly price so we will go in straight away as a standard bet.

Tramore 5.00 A Snow White Park 1/2 point each way @ 16-1

[Mike]

Hi
We have waited until this morning to take advantage of every extra edge we can get as this could be a very painful day as we will be putting up 8 points and we are only +8.24 points up at present. So here goes…..

2.05 Whats New
1/2 point each way betting without Ole Ole & Manoir De Mirande @ 4-1
2.40 Glenrush Bay
2.40 Jr Mahon
Both to finish in the top 8 @ 11-4
3.50 Take Stock
1/2 point each way @ 5-1 betting without Galavanting George & Dairy Focre
4.25 Struck Oil
2 points each way @ 7-2 for 5 places BOG attached
5.00 Seeitoldya 33-1 (non runner)
5.00 Can Happen
1/2 point each way @ 12-1 for 5 places
We will leave this page open as we are still waiting the dreaded bet builder markets to be finalised and will edit accordingly.

[Mike]

Hi
I do not remember which idiot felt confident last week but I think it was me…lol. That would explain why we only had the one winner but still managed a no score draw in the competition. Here are this weeks dodgy characters.

Bellewstown 2.05 Ole Ole @ 4-5
Bellewstown 3.15 Fiver Friday @ 13-8
Ayr 4.15 Laguna Beach @ 10-1
Bellwestown 4.25 Struck Oil @ 11-4
Ospreys +2 to beat Sharks @ 10-11
Arsenal to win or draw against Man City @ 10-11

The lottery numbers are the usual 4,7,16,23,26 & 50

[Mike]

Hi
We had another non runner today when Ballinrobe was abandoned but we have nearly a full dance card tomorrow at Bellewstown which we will list now and update over night (as the markets open up).

2.05 Whats New 16-1
2.40 Glenrusg Boy 5-1
2.40 Jr Mahon 25-1
3.50 Take Stock 15-2
4.25 Struck Oil 3-1
5.00 Seeitoldya 33-1
5.00 Can Happen 9-1

Struck Oil is the only “To Follow” horse and we will take the 3 -1 if the price starts to move but we have the feeling this one will drift.

[Mike]

Hi
No disasters yesterday with Loi Des Jeaux placing but with Comanche Moon losing we dropped a point. This leaves us on +8.24 points and we will try another “Extra Markets”horse for 1/2 point each way.

Ballinrobe 7.00 Illtakehimmyself @ 13-2 for 5 places

[Mike]

Hi Andy
No problem Woodland Park is 4-1 with most firms this evening and I will be looking to take that but will hang around to see if I can get Best Odds Guaranteed before I place the bet.

[Author]

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