[Mike]

Hi
Aazza and Abbeyhill ran well enough but no return so it was down to Monjules to save the day and as we use bet365 we had our usual BOG (Best Odds Guaranteed) we got a 25-1 place return which means we wiped our nose on the day.
Tomorrow see’s a make or break day on this one as “Hopefull” has sent over a full dance card of six runners
Doncaster 3.15 Keeper @ 80-1 but we have taken 11-1 for 7 places as the option
Newbury 2.30 Lord Baddersley @ 14-1 for 4 places
Newbury 3.40 Hardy Boy @ 14-1 for 4 places
Musselburgh 12.08 Agiluf @ 16-1 for 4 places
Musselburgh 2.20 Simply Red @ 12-1 for 4 places
Musselburgh 2.55 Prospect House @ 10-1

[Mike]

Hi Suds
Well it was my weekend on week 1 your weekend on week 2 but I am thinking at best it would be the January line or the Valheim line that would be our best options this week. Friday looks like being a big day with Regents Stroll, The Jukebox Man and Strong Leader all declared to run at Newbury. Sir Gino come out Saturday and your Nasalam is a big price if he runs. Sunday see’s Firefox, Three Card Brag and Teahupoo declared so an interesting few days.
Unfortunately Constituion Hill has bypassed a few engagements and Mahler Mission looks to be out for most of the season.

[Mike]

Hi
We have a hatful of options from our new sheets at Thurles tomorrow and will post the basics tonight
1.50 Cyrus Field @ 16-1
2.25 Watty Show 100-1 but we go have gone 21-2 for 7 places
3.00 Party Dress @ 10-1
3.00 Scriabin @ 66-1 but possibly 14-1 for 5 places looks the sensible wager
3.35 Malbas @ 40-1 for 5 places or 28-1 for 6 places
The results of the above will go along way to helping review our progress on the new data sheets and we will be looking to try out the tricast option again in the 1.50,2.25 and 3.00 races.

 

[Mike]

Hi
That was a little better today as Puddlesinthepark placed fourth now with the non runners you may have picked up a 10p in the pound deduction but with BOG (best odds guaranteed) you would have got the 28-1 so swings and roundabouts. Although the option B bets for the extra places are not subject to BOG both would have come in.
We have the same situation tomorrow as “Hopefull” has sent three over which are as follows but we only have an option on the one again.
Taunton 1.25 Monjules @ 9-1 for 4 places
Lingfield 1.45 Abbeyhill @ 22-1
Musselburgh 3.20 Aazza @ 10-1
Now we have taken the 12-1 for 4 places on Abbeyhill as option B and would suggest that a cheeky each way double would be an alternative wager on the other two.

[Mike]

Hi
“Hopefull” did his job with the selection I did mine with the groundwork and optional wagers Foshan did his job ran a blinder jumped the last landing safely in joint third place….only to be brought down by a faller. There were only four in it at the time and both the 50-1 and both options for 6 and 7 places looked nailed on…..sometimes you wonder why you bother, but such is life.
As for tomorrow “Hopefull” has sent two selections which are
Market Rasen 1.15 Grasss Jet @ 13-2 3 places
Hereford 2.00 Puddlesinthepark @ 16-1 for 4 places
We only have options on the second selection which are 11-1 for 5 places and 19-2 for 6 places. Lets hope for a change of luck tomorrow.

[Mike]

Hi
Karniquet won Downmexicoway was second but Olympy De Cerisy only got fourth so close but no coconut again with the tricast.
Ag Obair Go Crua did manage eight which helped ease the pain…lol but we could do with a change of luck as on Hopefull’s (hard work) thread Foshan was the unluckliest loser of the day.
We will be back for Thurles on Thursday weather permitting.

[Mike]

Hi
Olympy De Cerisy who was 14-1 has now been backed down to 7-1 so fingers crossed with the tricast…lol.
Ag Obair Go Crua is now 150-1 but 19-2 for 8 places or 12-1 for 7 places look the best options at present.

[Mike]

Hi
I have had a query last night over backing what appears to be a lost cause in Foshan and why he should be worth a punt today. We have mentioned the trainer aspect which might be a topic for another thread but the handicap side of things is often confusing.
Foshan has been running in Maiden races which means usually with the exception of say a Mares allowance etc the horses run against each other all carrying the same weight. Now Foshan has been allotted a handicap mark of 69 for his first handicap run today. Most of the horses he has been well beaten by previously are now rated at 110 or more which means if he was to run against them in todays race he would effectively be carrying in excess of thirty pounds less in weight. That cannot really happen as the race has a maximum handicap rating of 0-100. Therefore not only is Foshan carrying less weight than usual but it is against inferior horses (rated maximum a 100).
Why I said today was the day if you were going to back him is that his rating will not go much lower so if he is going to do something today could be the day.
For those following the thread Foshan started to move in price last night so we went in again at 20-1 for 6 places but that is just an option he is still a risky proposition. Backing him twice at different prices etc is (probabaly) going to need explaining as well and I can see this horse (win lose or draw) is going to be the start of another thread…lol.

[Mike]

Hi
We have a similar situation to our Saturdays wager in that we have been dabbling with the 12.45 at Tramore and come up with Downmexicoway 11-4 as the probable winner and with Karniquet being backed off the boards it looks a two horse race. But we have a sneaky feeling Olympy De Cerisy could be the one to follow them home so have tried another mixed tricast.
We will also be looking at Uhavemeinstitches 50-1 if he gets a run and Ag Obair Go Crua 100-1 in the extra markets when they are published.

[Mike]

Hi
We have just the one for tomorrow as racing is a bit thin on the ground but it could be worth a punt as it is very much last chance saloon for this one having shown nothing to date.
Sedgefield 1.25 Foshan 50-1
This one has shown nothing in three hurdle starts and will probably do no better today but the trainer has very few hurdle runners and amazingly shows a profit on his hurdlers this season. The horse itself is now running in its first handicap and if ever there was day to back this lad its today. He runs off a very low mark in a poor race and 14-1 for 7 places is our take on it.

[Mike]

Hi
Another no score draw this week but do not lose the faith despite the fact that we lost due to the fact that we have to lay our selections (under the competition rules) as at least trebles. Had you backed last weeks individually you would not have lost out as the two winners were the priced at 1-1 and 4-1 which would have turned you a +4 profit. I wonder which idiot made up the rules.. oh it was me…lol.

[Mike]

Hi
Here is a special update 🙂 With Fact To File winning that puts Suds free line into the top ten.

[Mike]

Hi
No joy with the November line as Doyen Quest was a non runner and Grey Dawning led over the last fence but was beaten into second on the run in. 🙁 However we mentioned we were hopeful one of the other lines would do well and Suds free line just appeared in position 27 which is a cracking shout after Royal Pagaille and Brighterdaysahead both duly obliged.

[Mike]

Hi Suds
Well not too shoddy for a first go from the new 3yo lists with Maxios Prime grabbing 10th place (they all count). If we can now get the rest of the sheets on board before the new year we should have a decent spread of 4,5 and 6yo’s which means we can hit the handicaps as well.

[Mike]

Hi
Well another couple of blanks here but Ecclesiastical was only one place off and we wanted 7th with The African Queen but you guessed it we came 8th losing out by a neck….lol. These things happen and todays sole selection was at Cork which has been abandoned so we have a day or so off until next week.

[Author]

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