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RobmullParticipantHi folks,
Seventh place for MAXICOURT was good enough for a 4.8 pts profit after a Rule 4 deduction, albeit the omens weren’t great when he drifted from 9/1 to 28/1 by the off.
It looks that there will probably be an all weather selection for tomorrow.
All the best,
Rob.
RobmullParticipantHi folks,
Just one selection today:
12.10 Cork – MAXICOURT – 20 pts for 8 places @ 4/15
Rob.
RobmullParticipantHi Clarence,
Apologies, did not see your message when posting today’s selections.
To be honest, the system was due a loser and has been affected by the second day curse, with Stepdance only finishing eighth.
That will teach me for being greedy, as I could have opted for eight places @ 1/14, but balked at the shortened odds!!
Anyway, with A Dream To Share finishing fourth for a 1pt profit (after R4 deduction), the bank is down 9 pts today, which hopefully can be clawed back soon.
All the best,
Rob.
RobmullParticipantHi folks,
Both selections today race at Down Royal and have been backed on the Top Finishes market with B365.
12.25 – Stepdance – 10 pts for 7 places @ 2/15
1.00 – A Dream To Share – 10 pts for 8 places @ 1/8
All the best,
Rob
RobmullParticipantHi folks,
A satisfactory start with 2 successful bets and a non runner for a 1.2 pt profit on the day.
However, I managed to dodge a bullet in the first race, as I was intending to back THEFLYINGKING, but the odds were too prohibitive even for this system, so saved myself a 5 pt loss, when he fell at the last with the race at his mercy – phew!!
Hopefully there will be one or two selections for tomorrow.
All the best,
Rob.
RobmullParticipantHi folks,
All selections run at Down Royal and have been backed on the Top Finishes market with B365..
2.02 – CARRIGMOORNASPRUCE – 5 pts on 4 places @ 1/9
2.37 – THE YELLOW CLAY – 5 pts on 3 places @ 1/11
3.47 – ROMEO COOLIO – 5 pts on 3 places @ 1/8
I did warn that the odds on offer would be very short!!
Rob
RobmullParticipantHi folks,
Just a quick update on the system stats, prior to the big ‘kick off’ tomorrow, as there have been 3 selections over the past couple of days and all were successful.
Total Bets: 138 – Winning Bets: 128 – Strike Rate: 92.8%
Total Stakes: 1017 pts – Total Returns: 1156.9 pts – Total Profit: 139.9 pts – Return on Investment: 13.8%
Initial Bank: 50 pts – Current Bank: 189.9 pts – Return On Bank: 279.8%
I will be posting up to 4 selections tomorrow morning.
All the best,
Rob.
RobmullParticipantHi Mike,
Totally agree with you that this thread will not be interest to all punters and I must admit that the profitability of this system (so far) has surprised me.
The margins on the Top Finishes market are minuscule, hence the need for an extremely high strike rate and a rather aggressive staking plan, but that said there would have been a small profit at level stakes, so clearly there is an edge for punters with plenty of patience.
Anyway, only time will tell.
All the best,
Rob
RobmullParticipantHi folks,
Here are the further details I promise earlier today.
I started testing the system on 1 May, having allocated an initial betting bank of 50 pts and have achieved the following results:
Total bets: 135 – Winning bets: 125 – Strike Rate: 92.6%
Total staked: 992 pts – Total Returns 1127.8 pts – Total Profit: 135.8 pts Return on Investment: 13.7%
Initial Bank: 50 pts – Current Bank: 185.8 pts – Return on Bank: 272%
All very satisfactory and in line with the metrics required to generate a reasonable profit.
However, I fully appreciate that from the readers perspective these figures are worthless as I have not proofed my bets and the fore I could have just plucked these figures out of thin air.
I promise I haven’t, but will start recording future bets from Friday, albeit the staking plan and all future figures will be based on the system since launch on 1 May, rather than turning the clock back to zero.
All bets will be be placed on the Top Finishes market with B365 and as a general rule I will be looking for the lowest finishing position that is available (safety first) albeit I will accept higher finishing positions, when the odds on the preferred finishing position are prohibitively low.
Sections will be chosen from various sources, each of which will have separate staking plan, allowing stakes to increase in line with the profitability of the selection source.
I hope all of the above information makes sense, if not please let me know and I will try to explain further.
All the best,
Rob
RobmullParticipantHi Mike,
I will replace Jasmin De Vaux with JIMMY DU SEUIL.
Thanks,
Rob
RobmullParticipantHi folks,
Just read that JASMINE DE VAUX will not race this season, so will have to find a replacement.
Rob.
RobmullParticipantHi Mike,
I guess the argument as to whether it is better to go with BOG, or extra places depends on how risk adverse each punter is, especially as Skybet tend to factor in a cost for extra places, through offering lower odds for almost every runner in a race where they offer extra places.
Perhaps, the best way of deciding which is the optimum strategy for your system is to place split stakes on both the BOG and extra place markets and monitor which produces the greater profit, or lower loss figure (not that I am implying that your selections are unprofitable) over a period of time.
Regards,
Rob.
RobmullParticipantHi Mike,
I assume we can make substitutions upto the start of the competitions?
My thoughts are as follows:
ANZADAM
BAMBINO FEVER
GAELIC WARRIOR
IL ET TEMPS
HAITI COULEURS
JADE DE GRUGY
JASMINE DE VAUX
KOPEK DES BORDES
LOVE ME TENDER
MARINE NATIONAL
THE NEW LION
THE YELLOW CLAY
I hope your recovery is going well.
All the best,
Rob.
RobmullParticipantHi Mike,
Good compromise.
Perhaps we should have further splits below 30k, as follows:
Over 15k – 8 pts
Other races – 4 pts
What do you think?
Rob.
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