Home › Forums and Tips › Winning Posts Tips › Winning Post Tips
- This topic has 824 replies, 6 voices, and was last updated 8 hours, 50 minutes ago by Mike.
-
AuthorPosts
-
17/06/2022 at 9:57 PM #1171818/06/2022 at 9:24 AM #11722MikeKeymaster
Hi
In looking through the card for some Ascot placepot selections I have come across the following2.30 Legend Of Xanadu @ 16-1 for 4 places
4.20 Highfield Princess @ 16-1 for 6 places
5.00 Tabdeed @ 14-1 for 8 placesI will throw these in whilst I await the non runners before finalising the placepot selections π
All of the above are steady improvers which look overpiced. Legend Of Xanadu looks the best bet, especially with the rare but successful combination of Mick Channon and William Buick catching the eye. Obviously the drawback will be trying to beat the well fancied short priced favourite Alfred Munnings.
As for Highfield Princess if this race was on the All Weather she would probably be odds on but she is ultra consistant and should be there or thereabouts at the finish.
Tabdeed is dropping into handicap company and runs off a decent looking mark having slipped down the ratings.18/06/2022 at 10:35 AM #11727MikeKeymasterHi
Here are the placepot numbers for Royal Ascot today. It is a deliberate ploy to avoid the favourites (where possible), as to achieve a decent payout, you have to get the odd favourite to fluff there lines.Leg 1 no’s 6 + 8
Leg 2 no’s 10 + 15
Leg 3 no 3
Leg 4 no’s 20 + 23
Leg 5 no’s 8 + 15
Leg 6 no’s 1 + 5Now remember this, like the itv7 should be treated as a low stakes fun bet that gives you some interest in the afternoon’s racing. π
18/06/2022 at 12:39 PM #11730JoeHParticipant4:20 ascot – happy power 125/1 on sky bet paying 6 places
18/06/2022 at 7:39 PM #11731MikeKeymasterHi
As Ascot draws to a close it was a bit of a damp squib for the site as Joe’s horse was a non runner and of my three selections, I could only get the one placed which was Highfield Princess advised at 16-1.
I did get a reminder of why I avoid the flat however, when Tabdeed was badly hampered at the start by Commanche Falls shipping David Probert, effectively ending any chance of a result.
On a brighter note, although we missed the placepot it paid out Β£79,125.50 to a Β£1 which I hope shows you why we will be using this type of bet in future. I know I said “I smell a decent payout” last night but in truth no one could have predicted that sort of amount.24/06/2022 at 5:01 PM #11760RobmullParticipantHi Folks,
A couple of selections for Saturday:
3.30 Newcastle – RAJINSKY 0.5 pt each way either with William Hill at 11/2 BOG for 7 places, or B365 at 6/1 BOG for 6 places – I prefer the former option.
3.45 Curragh – TUESDAY 1 pt win at 7/4 BOG with either Betfair, or Paddy Power.
All the best,
Rob.
25/06/2022 at 7:33 PM #11766MikeKeymasterHi
Rob’s Rajinsky placed fourth at 8-1 today so he has more or less kept himself onside with his selections. π
My placepot bit the dust early doors and I am afraid it will most likely be well into next week before my beloved Irish NH racing returns (but patience is a virtue).Β π
Also with most of the gliches sorted out the site will be reset soon. So those wishing to chance a dabble at tipping should do so now.28/06/2022 at 12:26 PM #11770MikeKeymasterHi
Just to keep the ball rolling I will throw in a placepot at Roscommon today using the following numbers. Minimum stakes advised so as to only risk a few of our hard points. The bet will total 32x bets (2x1x2x2x2x2 = 32) hopefully you will get the idea by now how this bet works.Leg 1 Numbers 5 + 8
Leg 2 Number 4
Leg 3 Numbers 6 + 10
Leg 4 Numbers 7 + 11
Leg 5 Numbers 6 + 12
Leg 6 Numbers 1 + 2The ground today will rule out a lot of the runners and this set of selections will hopefully bring about a small return on the day. I am hoping for no more non runners as we currently have a good spread of places on offer in all the races. π
28/06/2022 at 9:26 PM #11778MikeKeymasterHi
We had five of the six legs up in today’s placepot including the banker but missed leg 3Β π
On a brighter note we have a return of the the Irish NH racing in a few days which means we can hopefully get back to business shortly.
In the meantime one of our runners is turning out on the flat tomorrow at Tipperary. There are two options here, it is either a prep race for a hurdles run in a few weeks time or they think a spin back on the flat (off a decent handicap mark) is worth a try.
It would be worth checking the markets in the morning to see if anyone fancies this one, but as it looks a decent price tonight we will risk a small punt.8.10 South East Star @ 28-1 for 5 places
29/06/2022 at 8:57 PM #11782MikeKeymasterHi
South East Star placed fourth at 40-1 and although best odds guaranteed was in place there was also a small rule 4 deduction, but we still cleared a nice little profit the day.Β πΒ Another 100 yards and we might have got a win here, but we have probably lost the element of surprise when he goes back hurdling.
We have a nice bunch of runners coming up over the next few days but as for tomorrow we will try another small each way on the following runner over at Tipperary. Our selection here is a solid although limited handicapper, who is returning to hurdles after a stint over the jumps but looks overpriced and should get involved.5.35 General Clermont @ 30-1 for 5 places
30/06/2022 at 7:24 PM #11789JoeHParticipantNice 3rd finish today Mike good shout π°
30/06/2022 at 8:46 PM #11790MikeKeymasterHi
Thanks Joe, now they are running again its nice to get a couple in the frame at a decent price. We just need to get one home now.Β π
General Clermont advised at 30-1 picked us up a nice few points again today, but in fairness more or less just did what we predicted and got involved without threatening to win.
We do have a couple for Saturday, but as I have a lot on tonight and have a busy day at work tomorrow we will have to give Friday a miss.Β π01/07/2022 at 8:17 PM #11800MikeKeymasterHi
I finally have a few days off now and hopefully have a few decent shouts for Sunday but as for tomorrow we have just the two.Haydock 2.05 Hello Jumeirah @ 12-1 for 5 places
Bellewstown 5.35 Elegant Lass @ 40-1 for 6 placesWe are on a bit of a roll this week and have just had a 100-1 winner on the ‘Other Sports’Β thread and hopefully will attempt a decent priced wager over here as soon as the Irish NH season restarts. π
In the meantime an extra each way double might be worth a punt on the above selections.
Hello Jumeirah has some solid form and is stepping up in trip on her handicap debut hails from the very shrewd Haggas yard and has Danny Tudhope doing the steering.
Elegant Lass pops up from time to time and I believe a return to Bellewstown where she is one from one might just do the trick. If nothing else she is overpriced and should be there or thereabouts.02/07/2022 at 9:38 PM #11823MikeKeymasterHi
Hello Jumeirah was a non runner and I wish I Elegant Lass had been as having been up with the leaders she went to pieces two out and finshed out with the washing. π
I have a handful of runners for tomorrow to keep an eye on but all are running in the same maiden race at Tramore. This makes tipping one up near impossible but of Open The Gate, College Causeway, Elle Dorado Rock and Morepowertoya we will keep an eye on the latter.
The race is the 2.00 and assuming at least 8 runners stay in the race we will be going for Morepowertoya currently on offer at 20-1. We will update this in the morning when the non runners have been declared.03/07/2022 at 11:18 AM #11827MikeKeymasterHi
Elle Dorado Rock is a non runner but still leaves eight in the field so the three places are still on offer. We have now missed the 20-1 but will take the following bet, as it still offers some value.Tramore 2.00 Morepowertoya @ 18-1
For future reference we have decided to remove/restrict the membership as the plug in is still causing minor issues. So if anyone is interested in joining in please sign up before the weekend. We wil be running theΒ Beat The Lotto (Β£) thread this weekend so it is a perfect opportunity to do so.Β π
-
AuthorPosts
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.