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Mike.
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19/10/2024 at 5:02 PM #1823619/10/2024 at 7:04 PM #18240
ClarenceParticipantHiya, 5 of the top 6 suggestions match the betting markets, the odd one out is Chapter Thirty who looks a big price at 40/1 and Restless Lady looks a good choice for the extra markets bet at 150/1.
20/10/2024 at 3:19 PM #18241
MikeKeymasterHi
On a positive note thanks to bet365 but (strangely) not so much Betfair as I had all my stakes refunded on Shing Shilla from our previous race as the jockey should never have tried to remount after the flag had gone up.
As for yesterdays race although the each way extra bets would not have come in the race market predictions were pretty much spot on with the exception of Chapter Thirty.
Ma Bess 2nd
Vasda Queen 3rd
The Sugar Hill Lady 4th
Chapter Thirty (ran a stinker)
Miss Dishy 1st
Blue Mosque (Non Runner)
Hats off to Suds for picking up the baton I dropped…lol.21/10/2024 at 4:33 PM #18245
ClarenceParticipant😁 Hiya, and thanks Mike for showing me how to calculate the times for horses who have only ran flat in hurdle races I think the results came out really good, 🤔 are you up for another round 😉😀
23/10/2024 at 11:58 AM #18246
MikeKeymasterHi Suds
No problem. I am looking at the 3.03 at Clonmel tomorrow and here are the early indications prediction wise for the early markets.
Racing Post top six
Cottesloe Sunshine £ T
Kilbarry Ce Ce
Ad Caelum
Milanway
Tareze £ T
Whispering Hopes £ (T)
Our top seven (speed rating wise) But it is a tight race at the top.
Shing Shilla
Angels Peak
Ladies Well
Whispering Hopes £
Go Avel
Kilbarry Ce Ce
Shes My Getaway T
The unknown quantity is A Family Affair who has not seen a racecourse yet. The £ sign indicates best prize money and the T indicates Trainers form.23/10/2024 at 7:40 PM #18253
MikeKeymasterHi
Now as you can see from the list printed we have shuffled the Racing Post list around to put the two with both Trainer form and higher Prize Money returns to the top of the list.
Cottesloe Sunshine £ T
Tareze £ T
Whispering Hopes £ (T)
Kilbarry Ce Ce
Ad Caelum
Milanway
Now apart from the difference of opinion on the actual odds we have predicted the top six in the betting. We have rated two of the top six namely Whispering Hopes and Kilbarry Ce Ce in our ratings. However as we are looking to prove a point we would be looking for Shing Shilla 100-1 Angels Peak 100-1 or Shes My Getaway 200-1 to outrun there respective odds and finish in the top 8.
Shes My Getaway has not run for nearly a year and half and is like to need the run. Angels Peak will need to jump a lot better and although Shing Shilla has played up on both her starts but if she goes off with the rest tomorrow looks the best of the three. But all have recorded a decent enough time to get into the mix if not win the race.24/10/2024 at 7:22 PM #18260
MikeKeymasterHi
Well that went well enough as we highlighted Whispering Hopes and Kilbarry Ce Ce for the main race and Kilbarry Ce Ce came second at 18-1 so we would have cleared a small profit on those two Whispering Hopes just ran out of steam and finished fifth. Our other selection the 100-1 shot Shing Shilla who we wanted for 8 places duly finished 7th @ 21-2 so again we came out with a small profit.
We will be switching over to the Speed Ratings Irish Hurdlers thread for a while and will be looking to continue dabbling with converting NHF flat times to possible Hurdle timings. -
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