Hopefull’s (hard work)

[Mike]

Hi
As the thread has been a little quiet of late and even though Jikala did indeed get placed for a small profit the other day, Hopefull sent me an e-mail last night with the following list of selections for today.
12:30 FAIRYHOUSE Theonewedreamof 7/2
12:50 WINCANTON Ideal Des Bordes 7/4
13:00 NEWCASTLE-AW Benmore 9/2
13:25 WINCANTON Eternal Angel 4/6
13:35 NEWCASTLE-AW Rattling Road 6/4
14:15 FAIRYHOUSE Workinonadream 9/4
17:30 CHELMSFORD-AW Kazakh 6/1
18:00 CHELMSFORD-AW Star Pupil 10/11
20:00 CHELMSFORD-AW Arcadian Nights 7/1
The idea being can we do something with them(as they are shorter prices) apart from the obvious doubles and trebles which in this case would be option A. The only option we can think of is to use the rolling maul system which have used in the past (with some success) to see if we can build up the stakes to form an accumulator.
We will try it out and compare the returns tonight or tomorrow morning just to see what happens. For those unfamiliar with the rolling maul system this will be a useful example thread. Firstly we need to ensure we have obtained the optimum chance of a win as these will all be win bets. We do this by giving an edge to the proposed selections that are not at the head of the betting market by betting without the favourite/s. The tricky part will then be getting our first winner to start the maul off but once going you then have the option of driving forward or going sideways by splitting your stakes but you cannot take a backward step….lol.
Hopefully you will get the idea as the day progresses. The first bet is Theonewedreamof at 3-1 with Skybet. The second bet would then be Ideal Des Bordes @ 7-4 betting without Muskoka (bet365) then Benmore @ 13-8 without Juventus De Brion etc etc.

[Mike]

Hi
We have enough time before tonight’s racing to update the thread so far to show you how the rolling maul works (each time you win you increase your stakes). There are other ways of working this bet but this is the simplest form of the idea.
Theonewedreamof 1 point @ 3-1 lost = -1
Ideal Des Brosses without Muskoka 1 point @ 7-4 won = -0.25 (stake goes up to 2 points)
Benmore without Juventus De Brion 2 points @ 13-8 lost = -2.25
Eternal Angel 2 points @ 1-3 lost = -4.25
Rattling Road 2 points @ 6-4 won = -1.25 (stake goes up to 3 points)
Workinonadream without Swing Davis 3 points @ 5-4 won = +2.50 (stake goes up to 4 points)
Kazakh without One Horse Town and Kev 4 points @ 4-1
Now comes squeaky bum time as with the final selction Arcadian Nights being a non runner and Kazakh being a big drifter if Kazkh comes in we are up for the day (no matter what) and have 5 points going on Star Pupil @ 4-6 if he loses we will be -1.5 with 4 points going on Star Pupil to get us back in profit for the day.

[Hopefull]

12:25 NEWCASTLE-AW Feel The Need
14:45 NEWCASTLE-AW Dream Harder

[Mike]

Hi
Well it seemed as though it was a lot of hard work for little reward yesterday and with Kazakh going down but Star Pupil winning you would have made a small profit of +1.7 points on the day and that is the name of the game.
As for today we go back to original idea over at Newcastle
12.25 Feel The Need @ 16-1 for 4 places (option B @ 21-2 for 5 places bet 365 looks overpriced)
2.45 Dream Harder @ 12-1 for 4places

[Hopefull]

17:00 WHAMPTON-AW Plumette

[Mike]

Hi
Unfortunately going back to the old trial we drew a blank yesterday so although we will put up Plumette @ 10-1 we will also try a re-run of the rolling maul using some cherry picked selections from a list Hopefull sent to me last night.

Haydock 1.20 I Am Max 7-1 but @ 4-1 without Solar System and Clondaw Royale
Taunton 2.05 Honey Jack @ 5-2
Navan 2.55 Cullenwaine @ 2-1
Wolverhampton 7.30 Cut To The Chase @ 11-8

[Hopefull]

14:45 FAKENHAM Addosh
15:10 THURLES My Gaffer

[Mike]

Hi
Well it was not a tremendous return but I Am Max won at 1 point for + 4 which means the next two which lost were both 2 point bets but lost for (-2 x 2) -4 meant once again we were in last chance saloon with a 2 point wager on Cut To The Chase which won so we ended up with only a +2 point profit as the price had shortened by then. But it means we have had two tries at this and made a small return both times there are riskier versions of the rolling maul but that’s for another thread for now.
Plumette placed which was another + 1 point on that bet so it was not a bad day all round.
Today we have the two standard wagers which are as follows
Fakenham 2.45 Addosh @ 9-1 for 4 places
Thurles 3.10 My Gaffer @ 6-1

[Hopefull]

19:00 WHAMPTON-AW Port Noir

[Mike]

Hi
We drew a blank with the standard wagers yesterday but will go with Port Noir today at 14-1 for 3 places with option B being 11- 1 for 4 places.
Of more interest to me will be our third attempt at the rolling maul wager on the following list supplied to me last night by Hopefull just to see if we could make it three from three profitable days using this system.
Warwick 12.05 Dr Waksman @ 9-2 without both Lavender Hill Mob and Aviemore
Ayr 1.20 Jet To Vegas @ 13-8
Warwick 2.08 Land Genie @ 13-8
Ayr 2.52 Nab Wood @ 7-4
Warwick 3.50 Lift Me Up @ 11-4 betting without Jeux Deau
Kempton 4.15 Brunel Charm @ 9-2 betting without Prince Of Bel Lir
Wolverhampton 5.30 Starfighter @ 3-1 betting without Esticky End
Now the above are current prices and may vary as the day goes off but will give you an idea of what we are looking at.

[Mike]

Hi
I can see this one going to the wire again as Dr Waksam lost for -1 Jet To Vegas then won @ 7-4 to put us +0.75 up. The bet then went up to 2 points where Land Genie and Nab Wood both placed but this then put us -3.25. Lift Me Up won but at 7-2 betting without which means we are now +3.75 with two races to go but the next bet is up top 3 points. Brunel Charm is currently 11-2 without Prince Of Bel Lir and Starfighter is currently 9-2 without Esticky End.
If both fail to win we are going to be -2.25 for the day if either win we are up for the day. If nothing else this rolling maul wager keeps you on your toes and lets hope we do not come to a Sticky end in the last (sorry could not resist that).

[Mike]

Hi
Well more than happy with that a 3 point win on Brunel Charm @ 11-2 gave us +16.5 added to the +3.75 made us +20.25 going into the last race. Unfortunately that lost and it was obviously now a 4 point bet so we ended up with only a +16.25 profit on the day which we are more than happy with but had Stargazer won the total on the day could have so easily been a +38.25 day.
The most pleasing aspect of the result is that we have tried the bet three times and it has won three times which hopefully proves a point and although we will give it another go this looks the way to go.

[Hopefull]

14:00 AYR Captain Ivan

[Mike]

Hi
Port Noir missed the frame by one place the other day and today’s single wager Captain Ivan is available at 12-1 for 3 places which looks promising.
However as we have had some success with the maul system we will push our luck and go in again today with the following. But be warned due to non runners and double selections in last nights list we have a limited list of only 4 runners and this usually spells trouble….lol.
Down Royal 1.40 Alabatala @ 9-4
Down Royal 2.42 One Last Tango @ 11-4 betting without Zurich
Leicester 2.53 Traveling Soldier @ 3-1 betting without Camulus
Newcastle 5.15 Francombe Hall @ 5-2 betting without Kranjcar
Once again these are the opening prices and can be subject to change but we like to post the likely options.

[Mike]

Hi
Having just watched One Last Tango get touched off in the last race are we going to take it to the wire again with just two races to go. Fortunately we can get 5-1 without Camulus in the next one.

[Author]

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